NHL · resolved market
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. HC Dynamo Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d0d30974bde6bf4c02a92269895ed020eaae677595bf623ae034bc580537ab6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HC Dynamo Moscowof SKA St. Petersburg, HC Dynamo Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed SKA St. Petersburg | 54c | 747.94$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.49 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 664.96$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.08 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed SKA St. Petersburg | 56c | 513.19$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.4 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed SKA St. Petersburg | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 47c | 384.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.27 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…daa5backed SKA St. Petersburg | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 301.2$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.65 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 53c | 234.77$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 48c | 209.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 207$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 52c | 177.46$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed SKA St. Petersburg | 16c | 133.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 128.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 69c | 126.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 122.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 121.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 109.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 44c | 102.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 100.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 86.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…4587backed SKA St. Petersburg | 54c | 36.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.