Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaf246898134867d6e39558936dac3ca29c761483fdefe52090bdeaf90692b7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof KRÜ Spark, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c0…e618backed BESTIA | 51c | 2,069$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.22 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked KRÜ Spark | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed BESTIA | 54c | 983.24$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.35 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked BESTIA | 55c | 942.94$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.32 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed KRÜ Spark | 49c | 905.31$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…7eb6backed KRÜ Spark | 9c | 901.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked KRÜ Spark | 49c | 806.02$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.85 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked KRÜ Spark | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KRÜ Spark | 44c | 561.12$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.6 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked KRÜ Spark | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…afe0backed KRÜ Spark | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…7579backed BESTIA | 78c | 373.54$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KRÜ Spark | 46c | 323.41$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KRÜ Spark | 17c | 242.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed BESTIA | 51c | 233.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BESTIA | 79c | 230$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked KRÜ Spark | 47c | 191.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…22a2backed KRÜ Spark | 49c | 187.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked KRÜ Spark | 36c | 184.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KRÜ Spark | 22c | 181.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KRÜ Spark | 44c | 178.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KRÜ Spark | 33c | 146.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked BESTIA | 70c | 144.54$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec71…4858backed KRÜ Spark | 33c | 142.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KRÜ Spark | 18c | 136.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked KRÜ Spark | 21c | 129.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KRÜ Spark | 20c | 121.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed BESTIA | 71c | 121.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 159 | 73%116 W · 43 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked BESTIA | 76c | 104.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked KRÜ Spark | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked KRÜ Spark | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KRÜ Spark | 38c | 98.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed BESTIA | 67c | 96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked KRÜ Spark | 49c | 95.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked KRÜ Spark | 48c | 95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…05b6backed KRÜ Spark | 30c | 94.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked BESTIA | 56c | 91.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked KRÜ Spark | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed BESTIA | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KRÜ Spark | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…fdbbbacked BESTIA | 76c | 64.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed KRÜ Spark | 48c | 64.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked BESTIA | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…b585backed KRÜ Spark | 37c | 54.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked BESTIA | 70c | 52.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed KRÜ Spark | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed KRÜ Spark | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked KRÜ Spark | 27c | 47.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed BESTIA | 74c | 42.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed KRÜ Spark | 43c | 40.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed KRÜ Spark | 47c | 38.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed KRÜ Spark | 46c | 36.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked KRÜ Spark | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad3d…a814backed KRÜ Spark | 38c | 30.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked BESTIA | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f0…6da2backed BESTIA | 58c | 25.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked BESTIA | 74c | 15.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.