TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Grambling State Tigers (-16.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grambling State Tigersof Grambling State Tigers, Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,540 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a7a…15a4backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils53c9,997$5,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,298.4735151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Grambling State Tigers47c4,006$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.3544549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Grambling State Tigers47c2,082$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.384147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Grambling State Tigers50c1,111$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.52,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils9c987.01$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.261,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grambling State Tigers46c905.62$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.7812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils55c720.97$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.5416253.1%86 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Grambling State Tigers47c674.92$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.7124847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Grambling State Tigers49c507.33$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.7434746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Grambling State Tigers51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24513936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Grambling State Tigers49c494.42$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.3974649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils51c485.91$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.817048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Grambling State Tigers47c421.82$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.571,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb44f…8c20backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils58c383.63$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.095238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils3c339.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.834247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils54c317$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9884854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils49c306.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0611244.6%50 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Grambling State Tigers39c292.61$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9134343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Grambling State Tigers42c254.13$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.634843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Grambling State Tigers44c244.54$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.912,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Grambling State Tigers47c210.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7825049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8958…e945backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Grambling State Tigers46c199.12$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0385248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grambling State Tigers44c193$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.013,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils53c188.45$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.062,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Grambling State Tigers41c159.63$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5815356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils54c149.51$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.737042.9%30 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils56c112.03$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.158342.2%35 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Grambling State Tigers47c106.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3592246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Grambling State Tigers47c99.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5410652.8%56 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils54c91.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5730853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa139…f574backed Grambling State Tigers46c86.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.552147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils59c73.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.172,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Grambling State Tigers41c72.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8132246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils59c72.32$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.784,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked Grambling State Tigers46c64.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.913036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Grambling State Tigers52c60.59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.081,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Grambling State Tigers38c53.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.339056.7%51 W · 39 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Grambling State Tigers45c53.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5550548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c9…cf27backed Grambling State Tigers47c52.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.956555.4%36 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Grambling State Tigers47c42.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5961244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Grambling State Tigers44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.457655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils50c39.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8310755.1%59 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x106d…ccefbacked Grambling State Tigers46c36.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.783844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils49c35.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4963551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…c767backed Grambling State Tigers55c21.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.672259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…80c0backed Grambling State Tigers70c17.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.12785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.