Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb98cdccb3d8c6d3a00e02ffb66cf4fcc12eb74b0aac0044742433edd68ef428
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 767.44$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.43 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 723.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 706.14$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.2 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga Gaming | 13c | 669.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Rune Eaters | 70c | 617.8$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.98 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 595.59$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.59 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…d821backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 567.65$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 500$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 415.31$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 363.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 355.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 354.76$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 349.94$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 345.81$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Rune Eaters | 59c | 341$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.81 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 313.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 295.56$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 293.95$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 282.62$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 268.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 167.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 143.47$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 140.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 130.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 127.57$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nemiga Gaming | 11c | 121.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 118.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 105.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 79.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Rune Eaters | 69c | 72.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…6761backed Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 51.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Rune Eaters | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5864backed Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 44.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 33.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 28.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 148 | 68.9%102 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 23.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 23.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 21.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 17.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?Yes won
- Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)Rune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.