CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3ee9f7f6a34613d0edcf5e09ca2476652270ee4954418ca9a83d90a5ed7c487
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mellrenof A Great Chaos, mellren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bf2…2ce6backed mellren | 57c | 4,785$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.79 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d15…a2d0backed A Great Chaos | 41c | 2,793$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.78 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked A Great Chaos | 35c | 2,581$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.35 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c0…7003backed mellren | 66c | 1,216$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.83 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed mellren | 54c | 1,043$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.91 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2764…ec08backed mellren | 61c | 1,033$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked A Great Chaos | 44c | 940.72$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.81 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed A Great Chaos | 24c | 888.18$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.64 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed mellren | 68c | 877.25$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.79 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked A Great Chaos | 22c | 870$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked A Great Chaos | 29c | 864.41$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.22 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed A Great Chaos | 24c | 843.41$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.41 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed A Great Chaos | 29c | 814.93$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…b4e9backed A Great Chaos | 51c | 781.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed mellren | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | +18.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked A Great Chaos | 10c | 678.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked mellren | 68c | 663.83$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.06 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed A Great Chaos | 35c | 640.02$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.64 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6575…c2c7backed A Great Chaos | 50c | 603.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…e928backed mellren | 61c | 571.09$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.09 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…8c2cbacked mellren | 63c | 477.24$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.27 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed A Great Chaos | 28c | 451$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed A Great Chaos | 33c | 441.16$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed A Great Chaos | 36c | 430.32$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…9cb5backed A Great Chaos | 34c | 428.16$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed A Great Chaos | 34c | 410$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.42 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked mellren | 61c | 355.63$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked A Great Chaos | 32c | 326$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked A Great Chaos | 38c | 325.23$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.59 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed A Great Chaos | 40c | 300$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed A Great Chaos | 45c | 294$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked A Great Chaos | 39c | 290$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked mellren | 66c | 288.61$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed A Great Chaos | 36c | 281.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed mellren | 79c | 271.66$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…9582backed A Great Chaos | 34c | 271$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed mellren | 65c | 267.41$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked A Great Chaos | 9c | 263.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed A Great Chaos | 35c | 257.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f8…66c2backed mellren | 68c | 232.37$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed A Great Chaos | 43c | 222.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed mellren | 60c | 212$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked A Great Chaos | 21c | 203.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed mellren | 69c | 203.03$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked A Great Chaos | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42db…3816backed A Great Chaos | 36c | 188.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked mellren | 56c | 181.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked A Great Chaos | 39c | 177.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed A Great Chaos | 33c | 167.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x805d…f780backed mellren | 61c | 163.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed mellren | 73c | 160$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked A Great Chaos | 23c | 157.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed mellren | 62c | 156.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed mellren | 65c | 144.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa5…00b2backed A Great Chaos | 44c | 142.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed A Great Chaos | 31c | 139.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked A Great Chaos | 48c | 125.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed mellren | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed A Great Chaos | 41c | 123.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed A Great Chaos | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…77e9backed A Great Chaos | 34c | 93.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…b65ebacked mellren | 67c | 91.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2c…413dbacked A Great Chaos | 32c | 89.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…d9e2backed A Great Chaos | 40c | 86.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked mellren | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed A Great Chaos | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed A Great Chaos | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed mellren | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed A Great Chaos | 34c | 76.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…0c9abacked A Great Chaos | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked A Great Chaos | 37c | 74.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed mellren | 76c | 71.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed mellren | 56c | 62.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked A Great Chaos | 36c | 56.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed A Great Chaos | 36c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed A Great Chaos | 35c | 50.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed A Great Chaos | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d8…b071backed A Great Chaos | 41c | 48.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…8b09backed A Great Chaos | 44c | 46.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…6eebbacked mellren | 57c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e6c9backed A Great Chaos | 32c | 43.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…9108backed A Great Chaos | 36c | 38.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked A Great Chaos | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked mellren | 65c | 34.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked mellren | 65c | 33.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed A Great Chaos | 34c | 32.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked A Great Chaos | 44c | 31.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…1071backed mellren | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…1719backed A Great Chaos | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…a618backed mellren | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked mellren | 68c | 28.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked A Great Chaos | 42c | 27.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked A Great Chaos | 42c | 26.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked mellren | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…53babacked mellren | 60c | 24.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…5d02backed mellren | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed A Great Chaos | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…1999backed mellren | 57c | 18.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed mellren | 75c | 17.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs mellren - Map 1 Winnermellren won
- Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs mellren - Map 2 Winnermellren won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.