NHL · resolved market
AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Tucson Roadrunners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda9bd83e03603817c2828e967be6482bba5fdae0d1c7156b2608a207d3cfacc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henderson Silver Knightsof Henderson Silver Knights, Tucson Roadrunners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,404 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Henderson Silver Knights | 56c | 5,572$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.22 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tucson Roadrunners | 44c | 1,582$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.08 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Henderson Silver Knights | 56c | 864.06$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.95 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Tucson Roadrunners | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Tucson Roadrunners | 44c | 589.86$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.18 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 486.53$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.81 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Tucson Roadrunners | 43c | 481.18$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.81 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…553dbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 44c | 327$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.88 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Tucson Roadrunners | 44c | 323.18$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Tucson Roadrunners | 44c | 253.95$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Tucson Roadrunners | 44c | 212.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 41c | 203.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Tucson Roadrunners | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…19dcbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 43c | 172.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…2964backed Tucson Roadrunners | 43c | 171.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 44c | 169.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Tucson Roadrunners | 44c | 160.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Henderson Silver Knights | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Henderson Silver Knights | 56c | 140.1$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…4cf7backed Tucson Roadrunners | 45c | 127.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.32per pick | 40cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Tucson Roadrunners | 43c | 121.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 116.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 44c | 97.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Tucson Roadrunners | 50c | 70.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Henderson Silver Knights | 64c | 64.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…fb43backed Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Tucson Roadrunners | 47c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tucson Roadrunners | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Tucson Roadrunners | 43c | 46.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…245abacked Tucson Roadrunners | 43c | 46.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 41c | 42.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 59c | 39.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Henderson Silver Knights | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Henderson Silver Knights | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…8d29backed Tucson Roadrunners | 48c | 22.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.