CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07b50e35c4154456c41e369fe11b3edb3dd4e3c2066a89bcbcc871833921cfc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 75c | 566.09$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.09 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 56c | 449.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 57c | 449.93$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.25 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 41c | 441.2$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 402.51$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.49 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 32c | 316.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.26 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 296.44$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 44c | 270.45$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.45 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 57c | 267.04$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.28 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 69c | 264.18$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 31c | 264$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 40c | 147.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 40c | 131.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 36c | 107.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Over | 42c | 102.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Over | 43c | 88.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…085cbacked Over | 41c | 88.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 50c | 84.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 34c | 83.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 66c | 78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 44c | 74.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 31c | 68.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd413…f862backed Over | 44c | 61.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8d9cbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Over | 43c | 37.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 55c | 37.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 32c | 37.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4a…b3e8backed Under | 31c | 36.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 57c | 34.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 27.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Over | 43c | 27.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 53c | 22.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…2cf6backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 48 | 75%36 W · 12 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Over | 60c | 18.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys - Map 1 WinnerGalorys won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Galorys (+1.5)Galorys won
- Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)BESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.