NHL · resolved market
AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Coachella Valley Firebirds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f9bf55cf3d31289f01128564c04d7a356f4cd0afc0dea4cef5b8855d573dbd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henderson Silver Knightsof Henderson Silver Knights, Coachella Valley Firebirds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 5,105$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.31 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 46c | 2,510$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 791.35$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.76 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 422.59$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.35 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 395.52$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 46c | 299.87$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.48 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 216.66$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 202.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 46c | 193.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 55c | 181$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 45c | 176.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 46c | 171.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…553dbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 46c | 154.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 46c | 124.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 110.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Henderson Silver Knights | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 48c | 99.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8b57backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 99.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 55c | 89.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 35c | 87.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 79.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 51.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 48c | 51.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 46c | 46.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…5853backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 48c | 44.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 40.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8455…eb59backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 47c | 40.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 45c | 36.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 46c | 35.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 47c | 35.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 28.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Henderson Silver Knights | 55c | 26.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 72c | 25.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 75c | 24.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.