Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78c31a429dcca69128b75f47c1f62ea67f7a9284337c68c15bf567b11230a8d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rhode Island Ramsof Saint Louis Billikens, Rhode Island Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Rhode Island Rams | 53c | 30,964$16,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,654.87 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 18,888$8,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,877.36 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 5,431$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.75 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rhode Island Rams | 52c | 5,152$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.33 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Rhode Island Rams | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 3,367$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.29 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 2,600$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.15 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 258.03$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 230.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.88 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 101.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 59.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 59.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Rhode Island Rams | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 53.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Rhode Island Rams | 51c | 49.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Rhode Island Rams | 48c | 28.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1046…651abacked Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-9.5)this page
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Rhode Island RamsRhode Island Rams won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 152.5Over won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-10.5)Rhode Island Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.