Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe09579c7e1449777bf02ed758ba5a0a4a1126b20fa694d289cb44a70209353f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 54c | 841.37$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.74 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 41c | 288.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 46c | 254.61$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 44c | 189.59$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 56c | 187.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 51c | 177$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 51c | 156.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 45c | 144.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 50c | 144.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed No | 50c | 129$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 47c | 128.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 44c | 116.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 33c | 115.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 26c | 114$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 44c | 112.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…de11backed Yes | 79c | 109.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…b5dabacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 44c | 105.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 43c | 102.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668b…8900backed Yes | 72c | 96.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…1646backed Yes | 55c | 96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 50c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 54c | 92.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 45c | 91.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 47c | 91.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…0400backed Yes | 60c | 82.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 47c | 81.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 43c | 77.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 53c | 76.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 42c | 74.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 48c | 74.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 32c | 71.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 57c | 70.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 46c | 69.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…6732backed Yes | 69c | 67.34$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f59…9e40backed Yes | 56c | 62.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 44c | 62.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 46c | 58.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 41c | 56.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002a…61b7backed No | 57c | 54.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 52c | 51.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 44c | 50.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 55c | 49.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 46c | 47.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 57c | 47.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1302…afb5backed No | 44c | 46.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 43c | 45.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 33c | 44.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 54c | 44.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c5b7backed No | 57c | 44.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 44c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 50c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…7451backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…2ebebacked Yes | 69c | 40.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 42c | 39.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…ae8dbacked Yes | 77c | 35.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | +28.7wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 39c | 35.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 56c | 34.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 58c | 34.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 42c | 33.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 38c | 30.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…6e61backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…f2d4backed No | 56c | 26.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…9143backed Yes | 58c | 25.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked No | 56c | 25.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 43c | 25.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked No | 41c | 24.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 233 | 34.3%80 W · 153 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…1beabacked Yes | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 56c | 22.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe466…7db5backed Yes | 67c | 22.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…11f8backed Yes | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d69…9f70backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 68c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 65c | 19.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 78c | 18.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…43f1backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.