CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f47411597fcffedf86f1fcdc6f1c5940b1d2c45f1f122626839995ba4f89d3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Over | 45c | 3,330$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.11 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 55c | 2,976$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.8 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 34c | 1,164$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.62 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Under | 67c | 722.81$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.1 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Under | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Over | 33c | 409.65$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Over | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 50c | 285$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…ab9ebacked Over | 33c | 244.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 40c | 244$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 55c | 225.7$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Over | 33c | 209$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 57c | 154.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Over | 40c | 132.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed Over | 35c | 129$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 34c | 120.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1d…cc28backed Over | 50c | 106.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Over | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…47d2backed Under | 66c | 86.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 33c | 57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Over | 35c | 56.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19a…2d2dbacked Over | 35c | 51.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 50c | 48.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Over | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Over | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Over | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…16a7backed Over | 47c | 24.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Under | 67c | 23.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Under | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group AJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players - Map 1 WinnerJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players - Map 2 WinnerJust Players won
- Map Handicap: JustP (-1.5) vs Lavked (+1.5)Just Players won
- Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs Just Players (+1.5)Just Players won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.