CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc041e91e307f0c3fd9c30f27acc88c3d392fcf5701f14c27d0365255c1a27a17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof Lavked, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2526…218ebacked Just Players | 53c | 4,019$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.19 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lavked | 45c | 3,713$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.16 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Just Players | 60c | 3,192$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.46 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Just Players | 61c | 2,886$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.36 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Just Players | 54c | 2,209$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.03 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lavked | 48c | 1,923$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.11 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Lavked | 22c | 1,607$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.85 | 432 | 53%229 W · 203 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lavked | 35c | 1,016$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.9 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Lavked | 39c | 812.99$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.02 | 618 | 34.6%214 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…c799backed Just Players | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.25 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Lavked | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…ab9ebacked Lavked | 48c | 607$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lavked | 24c | 483.39$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Just Players | 66c | 460$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 15c | 434.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lavked | 40c | 424.05$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.93 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Lavked | 15c | 390.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 503 | 41.6%209 W · 294 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Lavked | 24c | 376.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Just Players | 73c | 350.27$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 455 | 65.9%300 W · 155 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4554…8deebacked Lavked | 44c | 334.09$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Just Players | 75c | 321.2$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Just Players | 54c | 305.95$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 226 | 58%131 W · 95 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Lavked | 42c | 277.18$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 30c | 225$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6277backed Lavked | 45c | 222.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Just Players | 44c | 218.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 29c | 212.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Just Players | 50c | 188.55$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Lavked | 43c | 178.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Just Players | 71c | 176.71$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Lavked | 16c | 175$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Just Players | 50c | 172.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…8063backed Lavked | 46c | 165.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Just Players | 71c | 163.62$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Just Players | 61c | 162.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lavked | 55c | 150$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed Just Players | 70c | 141.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Lavked | 45c | 141.76$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 317 | 41.3%131 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Lavked | 50c | 129.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Lavked | 44c | 127.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Lavked | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…6211backed Just Players | 52c | 119.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed Lavked | 50c | 117.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed Lavked | 29c | 106.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Just Players | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Just Players | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed Just Players | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Lavked | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lavked | 47c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked Lavked | 39c | 92.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Just Players | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 213 | 60.1%128 W · 85 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Just Players | 61c | 90.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked | 29c | 89.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…e074backed Lavked | 48c | 89.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Just Players | 78c | 85.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Lavked | 15c | 85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f4…6ad5backed Just Players | 61c | 75.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Lavked | 51c | 72.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed Lavked | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…698abacked Just Players | 76c | 66.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Lavked | 54c | 55.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 174 | 67.8%118 W · 56 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lavked | 49c | 52.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Lavked | 47c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Lavked | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…ea61backed Just Players | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Lavked | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Lavked | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Lavked | 28c | 46.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 153 | 35.9%55 W · 98 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Just Players | 66c | 44.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Lavked | 45c | 44.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lavked | 29c | 44.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…ffcdbacked Lavked | 23c | 43.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Just Players | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Lavked | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 361 | 45.4%164 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Lavked | 44c | 34.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Just Players | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…f115backed Lavked | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Lavked | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Just Players | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group AJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players - Map 2 WinnerJust Players won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: JustP (-1.5) vs Lavked (+1.5)Just Players won
- Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs Just Players (+1.5)Just Players won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.