World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6b25f7478081e59fb97481d40f15d7a7f17cd198a11d64051b9d4576cfdabcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 55c | 336.71$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.62 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 58c | 329.18$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.58 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 44c | 311.42$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 274.3$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcff…8528backed No | 60c | 247.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 49c | 244.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…a8f4backed No | 61c | 232.15$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 47c | 187.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked No | 60c | 184.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 52c | 179.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.23 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 57c | 170.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.49 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 58c | 159.19$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 55c | 157.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 63c | 145$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 10c | 133.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 46c | 128.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 121.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 62c | 111.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 53c | 110.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 46c | 103.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 40c | 102.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 60c | 100.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…cd1dbacked Yes | 51c | 99.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 49c | 96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 37c | 92.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 38c | 89.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 36c | 83.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 61c | 83.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 30c | 83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 50c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…64fbbacked No | 75c | 71.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…4d02backed Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed Yes | 41c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked No | 45c | 67.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 44c | 65.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 50c | 65.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 55c | 65.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 44c | 62.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4500…115dbacked Yes | 47c | 61.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 35c | 59.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 27c | 57.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 32c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 40c | 56.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…1cb5backed Yes | 50c | 55.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…8ffbbacked Yes | 55c | 51.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 49c | 50.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…c131backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b03…4343backed Yes | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed No | 40c | 49.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…b04cbacked Yes | 39c | 48.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 61c | 48.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 54c | 46.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed No | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 55c | 44.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 75c | 44.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 37c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 48c | 41.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…e002backed No | 58c | 39.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 39.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 64c | 38.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 52c | 38.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb04…8b26backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cae…7419backed Yes | 54c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…365cbacked No | 54c | 36.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…3eddbacked No | 58c | 36.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbc…f417backed Yes | 56c | 35.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…0988backed No | 57c | 34.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 50c | 34.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 38c | 33.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 61c | 32.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 63c | 32.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 75 | 82.7%62 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…e682backed No | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…8bbdbacked No | 60c | 31.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…2a0abacked Yes | 44c | 30.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 36c | 29.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 37c | 29.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Yes | 40c | 29.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…da78backed Yes | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…262abacked Yes | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bb…b01fbacked Yes | 39c | 26.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…d0b1backed Yes | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 61c | 24.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.