Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd04e8e5c338df7aa61de142c7f367a556f85f0c349c4dc4fdcc7511fbd967955
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 69c | 819.03$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.12 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 3c | 729.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 26c | 688.14$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.61 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 43c | 644.67$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.67 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 482.85$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.11 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 32c | 442.06$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.72 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 20c | 396.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked No | 25c | 349.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.55 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 49c | 335.9$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.85 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 28c | 330.16$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 70c | 312.78$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 9c | 293.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 32c | 261.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 45c | 230.87$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 60c | 228$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.64 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e42abacked Yes | 35c | 199.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 55c | 191.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 30c | 175.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 78c | 171.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 50c | 167.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 37c | 166.14$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.14 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed Yes | 32c | 164.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 159.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.34 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed No | 68c | 148.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 27cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 39c | 141.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 76c | 131.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb284…7518backed No | 23c | 121.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62a…de09backed Yes | 52c | 115.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 30c | 114.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.94 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 67c | 112$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 16c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 31c | 105.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…1cefbacked Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 69c | 101.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 34c | 100.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…3761backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 32c | 99.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 32c | 99.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 36c | 98.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…290dbacked Yes | 36c | 97.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 32c | 92.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked Yes | 78c | 85.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 41c | 84.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…7017backed Yes | 27c | 84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 656 | 27.4%180 W · 476 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 29c | 82.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 32c | 82.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 64c | 81.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 71c | 76.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 31c | 70.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 68c | 69.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 30c | 63.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 32c | 62.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 34c | 62.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 33c | 62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 29c | 61.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed No | 71c | 60.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 36c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 38c | 58.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 33c | 56.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed No | 62c | 53.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 31c | 52.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 39c | 51.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 34c | 49.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 33c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 25c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 28c | 46.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 35c | 46.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf417…b1bebacked Yes | 35c | 45.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 36c | 45.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 68c | 44.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325e…5308backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 69c | 39.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8b…560bbacked Yes | 30c | 39.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 52c | 37.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a2…2c18backed No | 67c | 32.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Yes | 34c | 31.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 72c | 31.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 68c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 68c | 30.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.