Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90589024ff8ef24991c9bb9aaaebb449514bd741dbe165e9b62ba3a51f545ae5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,594$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.53 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…1cefbacked Yes | 4c | 924.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 23c | 660.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.53 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 67c | 616.03$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.61 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 77c | 521.73$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 77c | 461.39$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 20c | 454.19$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…54e9backed Yes | 5c | 436.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 136 | 14.7%20 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e42abacked Yes | 24c | 426.35$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.27 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 26c | 413.85$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 10c | 350$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 72c | 350$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 339.47$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 5c | 316.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…7017backed Yes | 13c | 310.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 656 | 27.4%180 W · 476 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 27c | 296.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 69c | 272.35$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 33c | 265.49$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 24c | 230.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 70c | 228.05$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 224.9$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 6c | 172.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 80c | 171.7$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 22c | 165.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 73c | 164.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked Yes | 31c | 146.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…8c79backed Yes | 23c | 136.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 64c | 130.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 74c | 126.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…d3e9backed No | 79c | 126.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 21c | 120.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…451abacked Yes | 35c | 117.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 24c | 115.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 70c | 110.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4885…2236backed Yes | 42c | 110.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 60c | 100.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…3761backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…1646backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…14ccbacked Yes | 23c | 97.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 40c | 96.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 72c | 93.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 20c | 88.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 27c | 88.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 25c | 86.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 12c | 86.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 75c | 84.07$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Yes | 28c | 81.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 21c | 81.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 75c | 81.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 68c | 80.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e64…2604backed Yes | 22c | 79.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…6734backed Yes | 22c | 78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 13c | 76.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002a…61b7backed No | 79c | 73.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 71c | 69.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed No | 80c | 66.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b9f8backed Yes | 22c | 65.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 349 | 22.9%80 W · 269 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 78c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2f…fb48backed No | 78c | 62.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ff…df5abacked Yes | 31c | 62.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…290dbacked Yes | 29c | 58.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 77c | 58.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 35c | 56.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 24c | 56.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 25c | 55.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 23c | 52.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4101…d968backed Yes | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed No | 78c | 51.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Yes | 32c | 51.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe442…1e49backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…c14bbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…8239backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0651…b4e6backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 27c | 47.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 69c | 47.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 75c | 47.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf417…b1bebacked Yes | 25c | 45.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 78c | 38.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 35c | 38.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 78c | 37.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…953fbacked Yes | 29c | 37.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…66ecbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 46c | 32.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…da1ebacked No | 78c | 28.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.