Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d52ac0f2bc2b185f81c44146eae637fd2de3a2ae7ecedf6678092565035610c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 4c | 9,265$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.2 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,265$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 10c | 3,954$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.25 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…8f25backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f9…1ee3backed Yes | 5c | 1,364$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,165$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.41 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 80c | 1,058$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.78 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed No | 76c | 1,043$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.74 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 30c | 933.35$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.07 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 68c | 813.43$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.85 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 750.3$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.77 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 2c | 730$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 7c | 715.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 8c | 699.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 38c | 609.84$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.85 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9701…dd5fbacked Yes | 43c | 460.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…ea4dbacked Yes | 3c | 458.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 8c | 438.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 67c | 416.33$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.28 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 11c | 391.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 5c | 338.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 18c | 322$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 75c | 285.07$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 13c | 269.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…2427backed Yes | 34c | 257.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked No | 76c | 255.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 142 | 22.5%32 W · 110 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…51adbacked Yes | 39c | 250$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 32c | 240$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 36c | 233.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 228.59$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…86fcbacked No | 63c | 211.49$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 7c | 205.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 37c | 200.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 10c | 199.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 74c | 188.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 35c | 185$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 66c | 169.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 77c | 165$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed No | 78c | 157.01$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 35c | 151.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…fbe4backed Yes | 7c | 143.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 36c | 143.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa238…5f92backed Yes | 36c | 139.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 34c | 139.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 19c | 134$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 133.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 129.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 129.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 67c | 125.85$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 68c | 121.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…d3e9backed No | 76c | 119.34$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…b2c4backed No | 65c | 116.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 27c | 113.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 37c | 104.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 37c | 102.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…c331backed No | 72c | 100.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…e027backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 63c | 99.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 65c | 99.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 25c | 98.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 19c | 96.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0bccbacked Yes | 38c | 96.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 21c | 90.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 22c | 90.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 35c | 86.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 65c | 85.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 31c | 79.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 37c | 76.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…8679backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 74c | 72.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa09f…f686backed No | 60c | 71.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…ca37backed No | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 26c | 67.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 68c | 66.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed No | 61c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 38c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 41c | 57.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x002a…61b7backed Yes | 35c | 56.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 37c | 54.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…ff0bbacked No | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 37c | 51.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…34c3backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 78c | 49.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 76c | 47.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 61c | 47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed No | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.