Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe810505fa07628458fba380eecf95b0b9a239d68d1dd2f2f8c13f2a1e3189a50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 14c | 2,849$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.59 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.08 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 35c | 1,324$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 34c | 1,159$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.63 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 57c | 1,058$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.88 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 43c | 910.28$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.75 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 43c | 909.72$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.87 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 10c | 902.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 5c | 895.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 184 | 41.3%76 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 60c | 803.97$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.76 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed Yes | 30c | 803.87$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.7 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f9…1ee3backed Yes | 13c | 762.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.03 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 63c | 760.86$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.19 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 28c | 738$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked No | 6c | 700$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 44c | 698.81$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.39 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 50c | 673.22$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.58 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 29c | 654.15$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.48 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 30c | 517$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.88 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 18c | 500.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 8c | 483.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 27c | 436.79$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 50c | 402.42$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.15 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked Yes | 31c | 380.23$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.36 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 71c | 371.68$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 15c | 340.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 12c | 337.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.26 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4c…60a7backed No | 4c | 329.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 62c | 310.95$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.54 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 42c | 309.17$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…e691backed Yes | 35c | 308.91$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.79 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 22c | 300.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.43 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 48c | 299.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.97 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 12c | 292$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.8 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 21c | 287.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.13 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 16c | 286.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 75c | 286.82$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.82 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…953fbacked Yes | 60c | 269.8$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 50c | 267.31$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed No | 15c | 265.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 10c | 258$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 26c | 256.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.73 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 8c | 253.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…ff31backed Yes | 10c | 239.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.62 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed No | 9c | 238.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 12c | 218.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 21c | 216.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 9c | 194.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 10c | 190.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.58 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d072backed Yes | 58c | 189.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…ca6fbacked Yes | 34c | 187.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…fecebacked Yes | 19c | 186.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 261 | 42.1%110 W · 151 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 19c | 179.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…4bcdbacked Yes | 46c | 178.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 49c | 174.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8947…4635backed Yes | 30c | 172.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.3 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…2420backed Yes | 46c | 172.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 11c | 169.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.89 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 72c | 164.39$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 17c | 163.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 46c | 161.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 43c | 157.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.23 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 51c | 156.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 29c | 151.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed Yes | 17c | 148.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 64c | 144.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 38c | 144.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…5926backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 80c | 125.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 51c | 122.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked Yes | 47c | 118$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 48c | 115.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3024backed Yes | 23c | 110.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 241 | 39.8%96 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 11c | 107.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked Yes | 67c | 103.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 15c | 102.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 48c | 102.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5c…cda7backed Yes | 30c | 98.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 53c | 97.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 26c | 96.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 37c | 95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Yes | 38c | 93.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 66c | 92.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 22c | 91.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 34c | 87.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 36c | 87.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…acacbacked Yes | 12c | 86.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 43c | 85.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8f…53c5backed Yes | 16c | 85.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +216.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Yes | 24c | 84.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 39c | 83.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…2d4bbacked No | 28c | 83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b3…b43cbacked Yes | 74c | 82.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 75c | 71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.