Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x571e82fbcc38252fa91756f233032ab75db2555963c3a8e6ca4499a90db14f63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 27c | 2,214$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.59 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 1,256$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.54 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 1,058$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.01 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 7c | 1,019$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 983$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.17 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 11c | 689.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 15c | 626.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 41c | 599$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 17c | 598.74$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.73 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 11c | 524.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 12c | 514.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 24c | 479.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 456.1$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.19 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 6c | 409.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…b420backed Yes | 18c | 400.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 31c | 398.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 5c | 392.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 402 | 26.9%108 W · 294 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…8f25backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 365.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd0…fc25backed Yes | 13c | 352.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed Yes | 10c | 330.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 80c | 322.65$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa238…5f92backed Yes | 30c | 319.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 53c | 302.77$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0bccbacked Yes | 37c | 301.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 21c | 299.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 23c | 299.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 79c | 293.64$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 73c | 282.82$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…ab9bbacked Yes | 6c | 267.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…2427backed Yes | 36c | 255.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 9c | 229.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 44c | 228.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 10c | 223.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 7c | 223$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 220.32$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 6c | 212.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 19c | 211.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 72c | 207.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 38c | 206.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 9c | 198.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fc…d364backed Yes | 30c | 189.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380f…8229backed Yes | 24c | 187.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 24c | 182$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 38c | 172.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 63c | 169.9$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 42c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 34c | 159.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 55c | 157.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 73c | 149.9$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 40c | 149.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 64c | 147.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 27c | 146.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 7c | 146.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…6215backed Yes | 36c | 139.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 58c | 138.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 32c | 134.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…14ccbacked Yes | 26c | 131.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 73c | 131.68$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5221…bd4dbacked Yes | 40c | 128.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 63c | 125.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 64c | 125.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 25c | 120.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 118.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 65c | 117.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 37c | 117.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…441dbacked Yes | 9c | 115$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 71c | 114.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 70c | 113.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 74c | 107.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 25c | 105.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…6c81backed Yes | 43c | 105.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfea…c839backed Yes | 40c | 104.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…d3edbacked Yes | 47c | 100.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…8d1cbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed No | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed No | 59c | 99.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…5926backed Yes | 30c | 99.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 74c | 98.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 45c | 98.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 35c | 95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 13c | 95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 93.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 40c | 92.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 11c | 90.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 66c | 89.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 31c | 89.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ee…7030backed Yes | 26c | 87.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 64c | 85.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 74c | 83.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 75c | 83.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.