Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Derbyshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3604fe559af5ccb024fa2abbafb6075a48157df4aaea7f40565e644e69ba9814
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nottinghamshireof Nottinghamshire, Derbyshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Derbyshire | 31c | 4,970$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.29 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nottinghamshire | 66c | 3,423$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.9 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nottinghamshire | 71c | 2,662$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.65 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Derbyshire | 20c | 2,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 81 | 13.6%11 W · 70 L | -12.7wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nottinghamshire | 78c | 1,717$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.99 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Derbyshire | 41c | 1,380$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.07 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Nottinghamshire | 55c | 1,252$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.04 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Derbyshire | 38c | 1,132$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.65 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Nottinghamshire | 77c | 799.95$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…ce29backed Nottinghamshire | 69c | 651.73$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.52 | 203 | 63.5%129 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Derbyshire | 40c | 532.59$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Derbyshire | 41c | 503.76$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.93 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Nottinghamshire | 74c | 501.26$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nottinghamshire | 73c | 496.07$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.15 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Nottinghamshire | 69c | 329.28$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.08 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Nottinghamshire | 55c | 304.45$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.97 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Derbyshire | 17c | 270.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Derbyshire | 31c | 252.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nottinghamshire | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Derbyshire | 26c | 210.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Derbyshire | 45c | 188.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…6651backed Nottinghamshire | 76c | 184.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nottinghamshire | 73c | 179.19$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Nottinghamshire | 52c | 157.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Derbyshire | 48c | 153.78$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Derbyshire | 39c | 137$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Nottinghamshire | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nottinghamshire | 68c | 119.84$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Derbyshire | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed Derbyshire | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Derbyshire | 44c | 92.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…393ebacked Derbyshire | 29c | 91.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nottinghamshire | 67c | 87.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Nottinghamshire | 75c | 76.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Derbyshire | 25c | 74.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Derbyshire | 35c | 74.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…5438backed Derbyshire | 28c | 70.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…8b07backed Derbyshire | 23c | 69.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nottinghamshire | 77c | 69.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…1167backed Derbyshire | 39c | 68.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Derbyshire | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Nottinghamshire | 60c | 61.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…5343backed Derbyshire | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Derbyshire | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Nottinghamshire | 56c | 58.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Derbyshire | 42c | 57.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…3d6fbacked Derbyshire | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Nottinghamshire | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Derbyshire | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffb5…92c3backed Nottinghamshire | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Nottinghamshire | 72c | 33.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Derbyshire | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Nottinghamshire | 77c | 26.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Derbyshire | 42c | 25.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Derbyshire | 45c | 25.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…8c5bbacked Nottinghamshire | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Nottinghamshire | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…f3a4backed Nottinghamshire | 65c | 17.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.