TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Filippo Romanoof Oliver Tarvet, Filippo Romano
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,496 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Oliver Tarvet54c14,273$7,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,692.488,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Filippo Romano56c10,012$5,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,406.83655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Oliver Tarvet62c7,379$4,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,554.1811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cc…884bbacked Filippo Romano42c6,500$2,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,783.892347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Oliver Tarvet74c3,208$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.285,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Oliver Tarvet64c2,561$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.331,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Oliver Tarvet61c2,022$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.478,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Oliver Tarvet53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0609,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c50…d6ebbacked Filippo Romano50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00011059.1%65 W · 45 L+0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Filippo Romano21c1,942$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.784757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Filippo Romano21c1,722$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.033354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Filippo Romano22c1,591$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.9170041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Filippo Romano46c1,355$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.076,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Filippo Romano69c1,182$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.5118445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Filippo Romano24c913.06$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.163,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Filippo Romano36c828.96$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.441,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Oliver Tarvet66c795$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.7554138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Filippo Romano20c700$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Oliver Tarvet65c686.82$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.543,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Filippo Romano18c684.78$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.877,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Filippo Romano22c593.35$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.353,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Oliver Tarvet46c562.54$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.454,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Oliver Tarvet3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1575312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7906…be5dbacked Oliver Tarvet57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2859058.9%53 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Oliver Tarvet53c499.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2654,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Filippo Romano21c423.52$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.5845850.7%232 W · 226 L-1.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Filippo Romano58c364.96$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.591,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Filippo Romano76c359.99$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.864065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Filippo Romano27c349.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9944949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Filippo Romano27c347.52$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.324,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Oliver Tarvet76c342$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.211,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Filippo Romano34c317.14$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.312,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Filippo Romano21c309.81$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.8126345.6%120 W · 143 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Filippo Romano36c281.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.6969253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Filippo Romano24c278.45$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.696945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Oliver Tarvet78c260$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.066,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa680…3384backed Filippo Romano77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.74683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Oliver Tarvet33c229.85$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.892,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Filippo Romano28c223.16$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.931,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc98b…c6f3backed Oliver Tarvet49c222.07$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.411155%61 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Oliver Tarvet65c216$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.41,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Oliver Tarvet43c214.61$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.481,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Filippo Romano35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1305,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Filippo Romano50c196.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0430544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Filippo Romano32c190.89$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.861,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Oliver Tarvet66c189.39$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12572542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Oliver Tarvet65c187.86$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.113,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Oliver Tarvet9c185.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.053208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Filippo Romano55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Filippo Romano33c174.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.52,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd838…96ccbacked Oliver Tarvet56c173.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.974257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Oliver Tarvet55c165.23$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3195050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Filippo Romano34c161.37$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.51,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Filippo Romano35c157.86$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6621524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Oliver Tarvet66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Oliver Tarvet65c149.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.51,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Oliver Tarvet66c149.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.511,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Oliver Tarvet61c148.31$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.12,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Filippo Romano57c143.66$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.061,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Oliver Tarvet50c141.4$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8185742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Oliver Tarvet41c141.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4855941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Filippo Romano29c141.18$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.331,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Filippo Romano35c124.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9689859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2554…bb52backed Oliver Tarvet21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.29754.6%53 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Filippo Romano34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.21,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Filippo Romano41c119.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.333,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Oliver Tarvet66c111.13$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3552557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Filippo Romano66c102.7$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9247274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e88…2605backed Oliver Tarvet51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c8…a25cbacked Oliver Tarvet46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4616451.8%85 W · 79 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e85…01fcbacked Oliver Tarvet52c98.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Oliver Tarvet76c97.76$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.821,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Filippo Romano31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7767852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Filippo Romano60c92.11$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1999244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Filippo Romano50c91.13$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.731,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Filippo Romano35c90$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.951,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Filippo Romano20c89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.262727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd15c…9355backed Oliver Tarvet78c87.24$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.341631.3%5 W · 11 L-7.4wins-0.46per pick77cpaid-58.7%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Filippo Romano47c81.02$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1279646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffb5…92c3backed Oliver Tarvet34c79.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…a47fbacked Filippo Romano66c75.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.436767.2%45 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Filippo Romano34c72.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.743,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Filippo Romano34c71.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.158,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked Filippo Romano56c69.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.628950.6%45 W · 44 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Oliver Tarvet72c65.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7756070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd05e…f1e9backed Filippo Romano77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.951070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Filippo Romano34c61.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9246155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Filippo Romano35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3926734.1%91 W · 176 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Filippo Romano35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.146953.6%37 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Filippo Romano23c57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.822,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Filippo Romano32c56.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2987060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked Oliver Tarvet64c56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8425858.1%150 W · 108 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Filippo Romano36c56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.842,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Filippo Romano21c52.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3848552.4%254 W · 231 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Filippo Romano50c51.71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.821,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b35…bfa7backed Filippo Romano78c51.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0928265.6%185 W · 97 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b84…5c6dbacked Filippo Romano50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x605e…f559backed Oliver Tarvet25c48.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1da2…9030backed Filippo Romano51c48.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Oliver Tarvet48c44.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1374955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.