Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Essex
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e58c5debdb730ee7e7ddac771dfe033616d0c75a4725c7850ced6b91eb91eec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Essexof Middlesex, Essex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Middlesex | 19c | 5,677$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.7 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Middlesex | 44c | 1,452$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Middlesex | 2c | 1,309$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Middlesex | 35c | 1,173$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.67 | 434 | 41%178 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Essex | 61c | 898.98$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.39 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Essex | 65c | 813.77$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.68 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Middlesex | 36c | 473.24$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.8 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Middlesex | 37c | 459.43$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.72 | 318 | 39.9%127 W · 191 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Middlesex | 9c | 425.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Essex | 65c | 422.57$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.96 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…4778backed Middlesex | 33c | 306.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Middlesex | 45c | 305.96$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Middlesex | 48c | 293.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.33 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Essex | 70c | 281.73$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Essex | 60c | 275.11$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Middlesex | 48c | 234$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Essex | 55c | 225.32$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Middlesex | 24c | 182.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Essex | 68c | 170.31$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Essex | 53c | 160.69$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 416 | 47.4%197 W · 219 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Essex | 73c | 144.65$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Essex | 49c | 139.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 420 | 44%185 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Essex | 71c | 138.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Essex | 76c | 131.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Essex | 61c | 128.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8487backed Middlesex | 25c | 117.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Essex | 69c | 110.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 502 | 47.4%238 W · 264 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…3d6fbacked Essex | 55c | 109.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8417…8a39backed Middlesex | 24c | 108$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 194 | 27.3%53 W · 141 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Essex | 45c | 103.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…b753backed Middlesex | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Middlesex | 45c | 99.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…066dbacked Middlesex | 52c | 97.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Middlesex | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Middlesex | 39c | 85.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…84b5backed Essex | 55c | 70.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Middlesex | 47c | 61.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Middlesex | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Middlesex | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…2c98backed Middlesex | 48c | 46.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…241abacked Essex | 66c | 45.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xffb5…92c3backed Middlesex | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c3…5cc1backed Middlesex | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…b0ecbacked Middlesex | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Essex | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Essex | 47c | 27.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…8c5bbacked Middlesex | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Essex | 78c | 24.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Essex | 53c | 20.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.