Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium to score first vs. Senegal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68831994154a1f708408176971553f40f1976f651fdde9408d206b1046ea8325
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 55c | 8,341$4,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,603.2 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 45c | 8,117$3,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,470.85 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 55c | 5,936$3,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,273.49 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 45c | 4,286$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.65 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 4,117$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 44c | 3,383$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.34 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 45c | 2,738$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.26 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 45c | 2,073$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.01 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 45c | 1,762$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.08 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 45c | 1,477$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.1 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 41c | 1,337$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.76 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…8617backed Yes | 58c | 664$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.12 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…240bbacked Yes | 54c | 557.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…1a8ebacked Yes | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 45c | 300.09$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.02 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 44c | 273.52$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.15 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 45c | 271.82$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.23 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 60c | 240.61$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e2…d5b2backed Yes | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 45c | 223.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.04 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18af…66efbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 51c | 181.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes | 56c | 171.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 44c | 168.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634f…30a7backed Yes | 55c | 152.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…8e88backed Yes | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 44c | 144.17$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5183…d4dabacked No | 48c | 123.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71b…82c1backed Yes | 55c | 123.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Yes | 55c | 120.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 240 | 50%120 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…88dbbacked No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…0fe4backed Yes | 55c | 109.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…e971backed Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 47c | 104.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed No | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…94b2backed Yes | 55c | 98.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed No | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 268 | 35.4%95 W · 173 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 43c | 94.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…1527backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…547abacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ab…2d04backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x262c…5f00backed Yes | 55c | 83.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 45c | 80.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed No | 60c | 78.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…135bbacked Yes | 52c | 76.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked No | 60c | 75.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 53c | 74.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ee…4bfdbacked Yes | 56c | 71.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…4562backed No | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 44c | 63.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e45…d758backed No | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Yes | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 44c | 60.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 55c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 61c | 47.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a9…572fbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…bb13backed No | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 44c | 41.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed No | 48c | 40.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 282 | 57.1%161 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…9c54backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0e…64f7backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…4133backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…3918backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b0…4758backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…a6cdbacked Yes | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb012…0136backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…ad0abacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb5…92c3backed Yes | 55c | 29.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d63…0687backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b6…24fcbacked Yes | 55c | 21.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…448ebacked No | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed No | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 52c | 20.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb463…25bcbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9062…a38dbacked Yes | 55c | 18.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium to score first vs. Senegal?this page
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first?No won
- Senegal to score first vs. Belgium?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.