Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal to score first vs. Belgium?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c9a4ea31b70b2e0f6ef8a3606b0715cda120c660ac4bf72db1217fe85e0008f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e45…5b61backed Yes | 41c | 9,626$3,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,679.11 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 60c | 9,537$5,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,726.94 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 39c | 6,286$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,817.39 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 60c | 6,163$3,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,706.64 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 57c | 3,437$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.69 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 60c | 2,618$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.95 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 2,466$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.48 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 40c | 1,688$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.68 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 5c | 1,617$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 60c | 1,548$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.19 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 40c | 1,526$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.68 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 1,477$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.97 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 60c | 1,400$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 1,148$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.98 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…5d9abacked Yes | 41c | 1,095$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.12 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 920.43$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.85 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 41c | 612.2$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 41c | 524.39$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.39 | 237 | 36.3%86 W · 151 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ce…1276backed No | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…022cbacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…935dbacked Yes | 44c | 453.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.91 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Yes | 39c | 351.28$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 165 | 24.2%40 W · 125 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 59c | 319.9$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.74 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 60c | 274.32$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.74 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…0bc2backed Yes | 38c | 261.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.73 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27af…cee0backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 140 | 30%42 W · 98 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552c…e786backed Yes | 47c | 223.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf265…270dbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Yes | 48c | 201.04$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 49c | 190$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 57c | 177.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Yes | 46c | 159.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 214 | 63.6%136 W · 78 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Yes | 41c | 122.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +11.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 41c | 118$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 60c | 113.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…6e70backed Yes | 39c | 112.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…e7dbbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 55c | 81.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe662…8954backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…a275backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 51c | 75.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…ad68backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…225fbacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked Yes | 39c | 66.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 61c | 64.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 60c | 64.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 281 | 34.5%97 W · 184 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 55.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 64c | 52.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 65c | 51.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…e4ecbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…b710backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 330 | 40%132 W · 198 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…7703backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…8386backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 59c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…48bcbacked Yes | 40c | 49.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0734…fb8dbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 38c | 48.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3f…356bbacked Yes | 41c | 47.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…abe6backed Yes | 41c | 47.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafa…e6babacked Yes | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6300…41adbacked Yes | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 202 | 27.2%55 W · 147 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed No | 62c | 41.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 403 | 52.1%210 W · 193 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9e38backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…8183backed Yes | 50c | 39.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0c…c7f6backed Yes | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 39c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed No | 69c | 31.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Yes | 37c | 30.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 61c | 26.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 60c | 25.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal to score first vs. Belgium?this page
- Belgium to score first vs. Senegal?No won
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.