CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43420a5321bae5c83902f2f8cdc61738a1bfe884f42cb8fcba92d93e3559ec29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof Acend, Infinite
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Infinite | 12c | 1,002$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Infinite | 25c | 699.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…9f95backed Acend | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 142 | 42.3%60 W · 82 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Infinite | 7c | 429.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Infinite | 20c | 299.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Infinite | 38c | 260$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Acend | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Infinite | 11c | 243.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Infinite | 9c | 242.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Infinite | 17c | 232$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Infinite | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4018…f37ebacked Infinite | 18c | 196.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Infinite | 24c | 183.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Infinite | 16c | 162.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Acend | 71c | 160.91$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed Infinite | 18c | 160$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed Infinite | 21c | 156.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 143 | 22.4%32 W · 111 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Infinite | 23c | 154.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed Acend | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Infinite | 23c | 148.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Acend | 69c | 128.46$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Infinite | 23c | 111.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Infinite | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed Acend | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…903abacked Infinite | 23c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Acend | 70c | 51.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Infinite | 25c | 43.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Acend | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Infinite | 59c | 32.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Infinite | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…b2ddbacked Acend | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed Acend | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN PlayoffsAcend won
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite - Map 2 WinnerAcend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.