TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Inner Circle Esportsof Walczaki, Inner Circle Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,331
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,331 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Inner Circle Esports44c5,500$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,095.4292456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Walczaki50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Inner Circle Esports59c4,280$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.4363157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Walczaki29c3,508$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.4222241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbfc…e387backed Inner Circle Esports54c2,371$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.811190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.0wins+0.36per pick55cpaid+63.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0ce6…9469backed Inner Circle Esports50c2,167$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Walczaki60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20017162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle Esports50c1,484$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.147,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed Walczaki47c1,433$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.4918356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Inner Circle Esports36c1,000$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64118759.4%111 W · 76 L+15.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Walczaki1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9548…78d6backed Inner Circle Esports52c955.26$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.262040%8 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Inner Circle Esports51c735.96$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.7689046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af3…8598backed Walczaki51c578.79$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7914749.7%73 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Inner Circle Esports55c531.88$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.420358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed Inner Circle Esports48c515.22$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.355954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Walczaki40c500$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8521247.6%101 W · 111 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Inner Circle Esports54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23037557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Walczaki44c499.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9985851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Walczaki58c494.48$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.164,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Walczaki61c493.86$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Walczaki45c489$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.612,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Walczaki67c445.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Walczaki68c436.9$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.4437140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked Walczaki46c436.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019935.2%70 W · 129 L-18.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle Esports47c386.78$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.214,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec3c…528ebacked Walczaki51c383.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.793652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Walczaki59c376.96$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2227459.5%163 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Walczaki52c346.57$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0452150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Inner Circle Esports47c344.92$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1240137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Walczaki59c324.97$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2820242.1%85 W · 117 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Inner Circle Esports51c323.15$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.672,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Walczaki49c309.97$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.091,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Walczaki52c281.72$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.232832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Inner Circle Esports50c272$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9545754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked Walczaki27c270.14$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1311656.9%66 W · 50 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Walczaki49c247.43$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.242,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed Walczaki42c237.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8314929.5%44 W · 105 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c5f…31d1backed Walczaki16c223.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.526820.6%14 W · 54 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Walczaki59c222.84$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3375438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd592…9618backed Inner Circle Esports43c217.91$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.216752.2%35 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Walczaki63c204.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1527831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Inner Circle Esports47c197.56$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5641054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Walczaki45c194.34$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4528042.5%119 W · 161 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked Walczaki48c190.81$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5936645.6%167 W · 199 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7055…49bbbacked Inner Circle Esports50c189.47$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7414549.7%72 W · 73 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Inner Circle Esports53c170.21$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8037145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Walczaki48c157.86$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.023,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed Inner Circle Esports56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6630247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x180e…b3a6backed Walczaki44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6612535.2%44 W · 81 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed Inner Circle Esports58c144.58$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9522346.2%103 W · 120 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Walczaki69c143.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9221856%122 W · 96 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Walczaki35c142.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.998637.2%32 W · 54 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed Walczaki49c140.1$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.224842.3%105 W · 143 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Inner Circle Esports36c135.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.841260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Walczaki46c135.07$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.013,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Inner Circle Esports54c125.34$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.85,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked Walczaki66c119.29$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2436174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Walczaki51c116.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.132,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6d28…ad7cbacked Inner Circle Esports36c112.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.087138%27 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked Inner Circle Esports31c108.36$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7715044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Inner Circle Esports50c107.06$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.022,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Walczaki57c105.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6035344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Inner Circle Esports49c105.03$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.232,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Inner Circle Esports48c105$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.633146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Inner Circle Esports50c100.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0663038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50f7…903abacked Inner Circle Esports36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Walczaki39c90.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.481,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Inner Circle Esports44c90$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.45354.7%29 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ae…84d8backed Walczaki16c90$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7313219.7%26 W · 106 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Inner Circle Esports50c87.84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8474653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Inner Circle Esports45c84.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6621755.8%121 W · 96 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Walczaki37c81.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Inner Circle Esports51c76.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f6…b228backed Walczaki56c69.3$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396850%34 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Walczaki54c67.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.452,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Inner Circle Esports52c67.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.271,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Walczaki50c62.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.642,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Walczaki47c60.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.532,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed Walczaki52c51.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.769152.7%48 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Walczaki56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.293261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Inner Circle Esports50c49.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9841853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Inner Circle Esports50c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.518753.5%100 W · 87 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Inner Circle Esports57c48.47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6336856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked Inner Circle Esports72c45.91$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.98545.9%39 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Walczaki60c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.912,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260d…98f9backed Inner Circle Esports32c45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.68058.8%47 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Walczaki48c41.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2059354.8%325 W · 268 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Walczaki60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.942638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Inner Circle Esports51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2227248.9%133 W · 139 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Walczaki48c37.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.656055%33 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5575…c56dbacked Inner Circle Esports55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.368460.7%51 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Inner Circle Esports53c35.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.285,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Walczaki56c31.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.413,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed Walczaki48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Inner Circle Esports50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158757.5%50 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69dc…0cf5backed Walczaki60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.97866.7%52 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked Walczaki53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Walczaki49c26.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.195973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Inner Circle Esports49c24.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.432,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.