CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: ICE (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeab615b82bea99425a51beae0fed0c7d316d7ab9e8a0a6324f634a54662bfbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Esportsof Inner Circle Esports, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Inner Circle Esports | 40c | 1,993$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.83 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Walczaki | 67c | 525.71$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.36 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 509.73$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.73 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Walczaki | 60c | 441.06$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.81 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Walczaki | 62c | 439.11$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.21 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Walczaki | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Inner Circle Esports | 42c | 235.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.43 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked Walczaki | 59c | 205.8$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.42 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Walczaki | 60c | 171$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…cc69backed Walczaki | 61c | 160$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Walczaki | 60c | 149.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Walczaki | 58c | 138.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Walczaki | 56c | 130$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Inner Circle Esports | 40c | 128.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.31 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Walczaki | 58c | 109.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed Inner Circle Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Inner Circle Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Walczaki | 61c | 71.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Walczaki | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…f6c4backed Walczaki | 59c | 65.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Walczaki | 69c | 57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Walczaki | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Inner Circle Esports | 44c | 43.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…489fbacked Inner Circle Esports | 47c | 41.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Walczaki | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Walczaki | 59c | 27.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: ICE (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN PlayoffsInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.