TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,164 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c3,116$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.114934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x323b…6ed9backed Over59c2,253$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.592867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca5e…4af1backed Over49c1,329$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.791643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under41c817.11$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.8681544.4%362 W · 453 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb431…b654backed Under52c588.39$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under47c531.09$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.3715732.5%51 W · 106 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe47f…cf1abacked Over47c488$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Over53c471.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.6814362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b06…a3fdbacked Under53c369$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x354c…219cbacked Under53c362$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8a…7604backed Under53c360$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd50b…a106backed Under53c360$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c8…cad4backed Under53c350$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca73…0ae2backed Under53c349$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e44…322cbacked Under53c349$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5da…2bf4backed Under53c343$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a95…d39fbacked Under53c340$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2b3…a2f3backed Over47c338$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef9…ea05backed Over47c333$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd65b…b7dcbacked Under53c333$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x218e…35d3backed Over47c332$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed Over59c325.27$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.364057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4a4…fe62backed Over47c316$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a7…b31ebacked Under53c315$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b4…a530backed Over47c314$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c9…8ab7backed Over47c308$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Over49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1214856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ba0…09febacked Over47c305$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x304e…9d5bbacked Over47c303$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be0…e451backed Over47c303$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over49c285.71$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7110251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed Over60c269.83$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9333960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…b6fbbacked Over47c263$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ac…a0e5backed Under53c249$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb2…89e2backed Under53c249$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0078…50d4backed Over47c239$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10c1…66c8backed Under53c237$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd542…1b20backed Over47c225$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a9a…ad44backed Over47c223$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42fe…d6f4backed Over47c222$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d0…ad87backed Over47c218$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7942…1e88backed Under53c216$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd203…7f77backed Over47c202$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb2…0912backed Under53c199$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over59c198.72$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.486450%32 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b76…acaabacked Under53c198$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f5…704cbacked Over47c197$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e0…0902backed Over47c189$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+75.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Over49c183.41$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.542944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce09…a251backed Over48c152.16$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf57a…73ecbacked Over48c148.34$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2e…c7ebbacked Under53c145$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x023e…a3b9backed Over48c144.55$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dec…058cbacked Over48c143.34$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Over49c132.65$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6533153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over50c127.12$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0225352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdad…f369backed Under49c117.52$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.161361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Over51c111.37$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0115954.7%87 W · 72 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0498856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.046650%33 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5181246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over49c93$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4349745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over68c91.48$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.113,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c86.14$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.112,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4035454.2%192 W · 162 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over49c73$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2348948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4354743.7%239 W · 308 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f24…94b0backed Under22c69.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over49c63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1354346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under51c62.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8787244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63fe…9f1ebacked Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under51c54.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9345639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over66c54.75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3769863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over53c54.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8516766.5%111 W · 56 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Over57c52.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.431,48958%863 W · 626 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.534742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf27e…d69dbacked Over52c48.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5212050.8%61 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+21.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f94…519ebacked Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x287c…78aabacked Under50c39.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2739…1a9dbacked Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.415743.9%25 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4373…7c78backed Over52c28.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.792040%8 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over73c25.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.882,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Over67c24.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.141,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0534…ec71backed Over49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.49475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb44…f556backed Over49c21.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.957258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa08b…405abacked Over53c21.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.913246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc08d…c13bbacked Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1020145.8%92 W · 109 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.