TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Tibo Colson

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
James Duckworthof James Duckworth, Tibo Colson
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,786
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,452

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,786 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Tibo Colson24c12,941$3,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,050.7811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked James Duckworth74c8,650$6,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.4814757.1%84 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed James Duckworth70c8,506$5,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.6324557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tibo Colson22c5,823$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.512,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Tibo Colson26c5,348$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.892,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Tibo Colson27c4,909$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.8613450%67 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Tibo Colson31c4,140$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.6911053.6%59 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Tibo Colson32c3,844$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.576,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked James Duckworth72c3,660$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.3620155.7%112 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Tibo Colson31c3,491$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.434,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Tibo Colson28c3,417$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.830056.7%170 W · 130 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Tibo Colson32c3,411$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.095,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked James Duckworth72c3,010$2,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.9880153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Tibo Colson26c2,735$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.77,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Tibo Colson28c2,728$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed James Duckworth74c2,669$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.0533556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed James Duckworth77c2,373$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.6646473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tibo Colson25c2,247$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.727,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed James Duckworth70c2,170$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.914,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tibo Colson27c2,158$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.68,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed James Duckworth75c2,119$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.238,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Tibo Colson28c2,040$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.854,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Tibo Colson27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Tibo Colson27c1,942$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.35066%33 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Tibo Colson27c1,666$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.899949.5%49 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tibo Colson24c1,622$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.953,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed James Duckworth76c1,531$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.5136554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Tibo Colson26c1,478$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.094,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3742…1e69backed James Duckworth70c1,407$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x196e…e9d6backed James Duckworth73c1,351$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.523043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Tibo Colson26c1,071$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.1541955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed Tibo Colson27c1,013$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.481533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Tibo Colson26c1,010$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5910729%31 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5eb…9120backed Tibo Colson27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6790backed Tibo Colson26c996.67$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.131442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Tibo Colson10c988.32$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5976853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Tibo Colson7c973.64$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2948652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Tibo Colson8c954.17$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.237153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Tibo Colson28c941.04$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Tibo Colson6c895.28$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4260651.8%314 W · 292 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed James Duckworth56c882.96$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.512235.2%43 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf84b…6455backed Tibo Colson5c811.21$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.091217.4%9 W · 112 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tibo Colson25c807.11$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.863,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7988…a57ebacked Tibo Colson20c787.89$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.853429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x305b…cd21backed James Duckworth72c740.79$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.4255059.1%325 W · 225 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed James Duckworth72c679.48$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.8714162.4%88 W · 53 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed James Duckworth73c676.71$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18318459.8%110 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Tibo Colson27c641.11$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.17943%34 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Tibo Colson8c601.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2361752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Tibo Colson18c577.08$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.111,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed James Duckworth68c560.37$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.791,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Tibo Colson30c519.14$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.246,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Tibo Colson28c516.63$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.59556.8%54 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ee…c2c8backed Tibo Colson26c509.98$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed James Duckworth74c491.62$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8214250.7%72 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed James Duckworth76c486.32$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.341,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Tibo Colson26c478.37$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1995140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked James Duckworth73c471.68$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3517654.5%96 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Tibo Colson27c449.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029230.5%89 W · 203 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Tibo Colson26c424.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.97,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Tibo Colson9c417.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6241658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed James Duckworth74c399.08$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7646562.6%291 W · 174 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed James Duckworth77c396.48$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1133747.2%159 W · 178 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Tibo Colson26c363.95$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0127936.2%101 W · 178 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Tibo Colson27c337.54$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1447552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed James Duckworth75c309.91$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8229652.4%155 W · 141 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Tibo Colson17c301.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9885624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Tibo Colson26c301.15$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.868951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…3aa6backed James Duckworth73c297.02$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.333366.7%22 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6173…f49abacked James Duckworth68c292.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.073063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Tibo Colson26c291.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.722352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tibo Colson32c291.24$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.067,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed James Duckworth70c283.11$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0152155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c30…42a4backed James Duckworth76c282.58$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.872661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed James Duckworth75c278.35$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8365952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60fc…03b0backed James Duckworth72c273.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.475745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed James Duckworth76c272.53$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.785961%36 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked James Duckworth73c272.44$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8760355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed James Duckworth76c260.34$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.261,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Tibo Colson27c260.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2218957.1%108 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed James Duckworth67c250.17$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.794,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed James Duckworth64c247$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8246453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Tibo Colson27c236.18$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.773844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Tibo Colson23c233.34$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3525756%144 W · 113 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3998…7f0fbacked James Duckworth74c228.1$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.313762.2%23 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed James Duckworth77c209.92$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.121,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked James Duckworth76c204.53$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5512359.3%73 W · 50 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Tibo Colson28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked James Duckworth74c199.56$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.882,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Tibo Colson27c193.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1512361%75 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Tibo Colson20c190.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.081,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked James Duckworth77c187.08$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3730555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked James Duckworth76c174.34$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6148453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked Tibo Colson31c172.12$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.634438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Tibo Colson27c166$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8221742.9%93 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Tibo Colson29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8734637.9%131 W · 215 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked James Duckworth74c161.17$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0116645.2%75 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81d4…0c51backed Tibo Colson26c158.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Tibo Colson26c154.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.651,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed James Duckworth77c153.35$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.252,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.