Cricket · resolved market
T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South Africa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9a6158290c3ac526c48ec40cd8235b227a8e37a196093a83a339124598178e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Zealandof New Zealand, South Africa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,072 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…8038backed South Africa | 36c | 14,630$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.24 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…4841backed South Africa | 32c | 9,865$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.63 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New Zealand | 61c | 4,687$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.79 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…c0d3backed New Zealand | 74c | 3,490$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.84 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed New Zealand | 68c | 2,758$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.5 | 202 | 62.9%127 W · 75 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed South Africa | 36c | 1,990$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked South Africa | 36c | 1,595$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.83 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed South Africa | 34c | 1,041$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.13 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed South Africa | 13c | 1,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 327 | 15.9%52 W · 275 L | +14.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed New Zealand | 65c | 664.34$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.32 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked South Africa | 32c | 603.17$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.26 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…5878backed New Zealand | 54c | 542.82$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed South Africa | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed New Zealand | 61c | 491.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked New Zealand | 61c | 488.55$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.55 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed South Africa | 30c | 436.31$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed New Zealand | 71c | 392.3$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New Zealand | 64c | 390.41$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.77 | 432 | 44.2%191 W · 241 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked New Zealand | 63c | 318.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.91 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed New Zealand | 64c | 307.48$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked South Africa | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 6cpaid | +340.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed New Zealand | 56c | 269.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.93 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed South Africa | 34c | 269.08$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…c865backed South Africa | 39c | 263.28$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed South Africa | 17c | 224.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3052…ca02backed New Zealand | 73c | 224.56$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…760abacked New Zealand | 70c | 203.16$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…468dbacked South Africa | 48c | 202.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked South Africa | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed New Zealand | 60c | 194.47$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…28c3backed New Zealand | 62c | 171.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed South Africa | 39c | 161$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed New Zealand | 63c | 158.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed New Zealand | 44c | 155.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…01cebacked New Zealand | 61c | 148.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…acd7backed New Zealand | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked New Zealand | 58c | 130$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked South Africa | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…6d55backed South Africa | 32c | 124.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…3c32backed New Zealand | 62c | 118.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…a7c1backed New Zealand | 47c | 118.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…38d5backed South Africa | 30c | 115.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed South Africa | 40c | 100.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…3003backed New Zealand | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked South Africa | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed New Zealand | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…d809backed New Zealand | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked New Zealand | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…ccd5backed New Zealand | 61c | 72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked New Zealand | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked South Africa | 17c | 69.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked New Zealand | 61c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…32fcbacked New Zealand | 45c | 63.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…591dbacked New Zealand | 56c | 63.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed South Africa | 39c | 62.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362e…5ef9backed New Zealand | 57c | 57.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…62a0backed South Africa | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed South Africa | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…3e04backed New Zealand | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…6720backed New Zealand | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked South Africa | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed New Zealand | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…f527backed New Zealand | 64c | 41.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed South Africa | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…24d1backed New Zealand | 53c | 39.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New Zealand | 61c | 35.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e68…1634backed New Zealand | 44c | 35.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…3c1cbacked New Zealand | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…91b9backed South Africa | 33c | 32.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked South Africa | 46c | 30.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed South Africa | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…c705backed New Zealand | 67c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…2c1fbacked New Zealand | 60c | 24.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…643fbacked New Zealand | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…3af3backed New Zealand | 73c | 14.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.