CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51dd2dcebdd6a15c0f54580e9d1f6362e3d84667aa1c9afa7c082c85e2b9c9d7

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Allianceof GamerLegion, Alliance
Resolved: Mar 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,471 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2529…548abacked GamerLegion	66c	1,520$1,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,009.14	3,217	51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L	+89.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked GamerLegion	78c	1,281$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.5	145	55.2%80 W · 65 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed GamerLegion	71c	1,229$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.92	4,220	49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L	+61.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Alliance	38c	1,100$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$681.96	749	56.7%425 W · 324 L	+47.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3f9…d587backed Alliance	1c	1,000$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990	350	33.4%117 W · 233 L	+22.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+44.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked GamerLegion	70c	953.16$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.18	627	38.8%243 W · 384 L	-31.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Alliance	17c	829$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$691	217	37.3%81 W · 136 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed GamerLegion	60c	640.78$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.64	5,262	31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L	-381.6wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked Alliance	53c	461.95$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.1	77	49.4%38 W · 39 L	+5.4wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23b4…7056backed Alliance	57c	420.92$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.96	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Alliance	38c	399.97$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.98	503	40.2%202 W · 301 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed GamerLegion	79c	319.69$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40cd…f932backed Alliance	15c	310$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.77	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed GamerLegion	24c	300$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	549	38.4%211 W · 338 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance	21c	297.39$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.48	7,892	50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L	+182.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Alliance	31c	262.22$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.18	645	54.4%351 W · 294 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked GamerLegion	59c	258.69$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.82	3,256	50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L	+97.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed GamerLegion	44c	238.3$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.81	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c7…4332backed GamerLegion	77c	233.72$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.55	176	44.3%78 W · 98 L	-17.8wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc667…e68dbacked Alliance	37c	230.01$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.33	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed GamerLegion	61c	227.92$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	275	56.4%155 W · 120 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Alliance	16c	199$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.14	3,888	36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L	-197.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed GamerLegion	41c	194.96$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.59	696	35.3%246 W · 450 L	-49.3wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked Alliance	60c	191.82$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.82	278	48.6%135 W · 143 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed GamerLegion	13c	172$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.15	223	24.7%55 W · 168 L	-21.2wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb9ef…0cf9backed Alliance	38c	169.78$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.74	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff5…7bd9backed Alliance	30c	165.32$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.32	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked GamerLegion	73c	144.05$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.72	195	40%78 W · 117 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked Alliance	36c	132.14$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.57	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Alliance	32c	131.13$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.17	374	41.7%156 W · 218 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1be0…8892backed Alliance	42c	122.97$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.38	49	51%25 W · 24 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion	61c	120.25$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.89	6,466	42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L	-78.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa8…d75fbacked Alliance	17c	118.49$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.49	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	+6.9wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Alliance	24c	110$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.07	1,303	26.5%345 W · 958 L	-89.1wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Alliance	39c	105.26$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.21	187	51.3%96 W · 91 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Alliance	29c	99.96$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.97	840	37.9%318 W · 522 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed GamerLegion	66c	79.95$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.07	75	37.3%28 W · 47 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Alliance	37c	78.59$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.49	493	76.1%375 W · 118 L	+96.8wins	+0.20per pick	56cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0xa62c…a3c1backed Alliance	39c	78.44$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.8	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+5.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed GamerLegion	49c	71$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.79	217	39.2%85 W · 132 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Alliance	18c	68.25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.66	1,546	33.8%523 W · 1,023 L	-73.9wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdde…af48backed Alliance	69c	64.74$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.39	139	64%89 W · 50 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Alliance	33c	64.68$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.19	416	40.6%169 W · 247 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Alliance	23c	64.67$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.83	2,102	16.8%353 W · 1,749 L	-286.5wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked GamerLegion	22c	64.16$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.07	313	28.4%89 W · 224 L	-21.8wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Alliance	30c	59.35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.35	196	58.2%114 W · 82 L	+11.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2127…a4c7backed GamerLegion	66c	59.29$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked GamerLegion	75c	59$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.13	389	42.4%165 W · 224 L	-15.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked GamerLegion	67c	55$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.85	159	35.2%56 W · 103 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed GamerLegion	65c	54.55$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.57	452	24.3%110 W · 342 L	-52.4wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed GamerLegion	73c	54.27$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.82	623	50.9%317 W · 306 L	+18.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked GamerLegion	70c	52$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	609	53.4%325 W · 284 L	-31.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked GamerLegion	51c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.45	2,770	37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L	-139.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked GamerLegion	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	149	39.6%59 W · 90 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Alliance	25c	48.24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.02	164	64.6%106 W · 58 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8058…4cc3backed GamerLegion	65c	47.69$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	169	58%98 W · 71 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5978…aec4backed GamerLegion	70c	46.43$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	229	38%87 W · 142 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Alliance	29c	44.69$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.64	527	55.8%294 W · 233 L	+23.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed GamerLegion	68c	44.54$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.11	2,061	50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb39d…b695backed Alliance	34c	40.23$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.42	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-30%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f43…843abacked GamerLegion	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	-10.4wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Alliance	42c	39.96$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.05	269	58.4%157 W · 112 L	+20.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Alliance	49c	39.21$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	155	44.5%69 W · 86 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe8…6d0abacked GamerLegion	51c	39.21$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Alliance	28c	37$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.64	401	48.4%194 W · 207 L	-14.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed GamerLegion	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	427	57.8%247 W · 180 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac14…415abacked Alliance	32c	32.8$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.38	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed Alliance	43c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	73	41.1%30 W · 43 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41e…9cabbacked Alliance	37c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.79	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35fb…2da2backed Alliance	38c	26.47$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.37	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.34per pick	50cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb94f…07a6backed GamerLegion	80c	25.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	57	64.9%37 W · 20 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4dc…0e2ebacked GamerLegion	62c	24.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Alliance	46c	24$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.97	247	47%116 W · 131 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Alliance	45c	24$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.18	497	45.9%228 W · 269 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b01…7844backed GamerLegion	64c	16.59$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.38per pick	55cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Alliance - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Alliance (BO3) - Journey PlayoffsAlliance won
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Alliance - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event