CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c762013186f9374a3c6988775f0b65a21e95b146a79784f3b3af2c7726ac2f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof GamerLegion, Alliance
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Alliance | 32c | 2,817$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.25 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…a265backed GamerLegion | 55c | 1,073$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.05 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed GamerLegion | 55c | 1,028$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.75 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked GamerLegion | 63c | 932.44$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.09 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Alliance | 34c | 653.31$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.02 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Alliance | 32c | 625.47$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.24 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d1…4242backed Alliance | 32c | 616.2$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.2 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed GamerLegion | 33c | 575.66$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.47 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GamerLegion | 65c | 451.95$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.77 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…01e0backed GamerLegion | 39c | 411.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed GamerLegion | 58c | 400$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GamerLegion | 46c | 393.02$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.47 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Alliance | 74c | 331.17$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…7056backed Alliance | 34c | 328.11$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.11 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alliance | 60c | 284.69$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance | 48c | 262.18$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.33 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked GamerLegion | 65c | 230.92$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.09 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed GamerLegion | 28c | 207.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked GamerLegion | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked GamerLegion | 25c | 173.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed GamerLegion | 63c | 157.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked GamerLegion | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed GamerLegion | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed Alliance | 21c | 126.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Alliance | 53c | 115$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Alliance | 37c | 114$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Alliance | 20c | 110$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ff…6431backed GamerLegion | 76c | 104.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 231 | 65.8%152 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed GamerLegion | 64c | 103.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed GamerLegion | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed GamerLegion | 37c | 90.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5010…3bdabacked GamerLegion | 45c | 88.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Alliance | 39c | 87.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed GamerLegion | 70c | 86.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed GamerLegion | 76c | 76.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Alliance | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed GamerLegion | 42c | 73.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Alliance | 50c | 68.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Alliance | 55c | 62.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 849 | 37.8%321 W · 528 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…7bd9backed Alliance | 34c | 62.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…b695backed Alliance | 23c | 56.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked GamerLegion | 65c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed GamerLegion | 65c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Alliance | 31c | 54.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Alliance | 39c | 50.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…af48backed GamerLegion | 69c | 49.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…bfb7backed Alliance | 28c | 48.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed GamerLegion | 51c | 47.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…ef2fbacked Alliance | 33c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed Alliance | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Alliance | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…5080backed GamerLegion | 67c | 39.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…8973backed Alliance | 47c | 38.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…b728backed Alliance | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7f…6e16backed Alliance | 51c | 31.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed Alliance | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed GamerLegion | 67c | 29.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 326 | 43.3%141 W · 185 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Alliance | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed GamerLegion | 63c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3715backed Alliance | 66c | 20.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked GamerLegion | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed GamerLegion | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed GamerLegion | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Alliance (BO3) - Journey PlayoffsAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Alliance - Map 1 WinnerAlliance won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.