TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Yokkaichi: Paul Jubb vs Harry Wendelken

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Harry Wendelkenof Paul Jubb, Harry Wendelken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,362

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,362 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Harry Wendelken54c17,345$9,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,910.817,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Paul Jubb52c4,740$2,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,465.361,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Paul Jubb41c4,436$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.64,41151.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L+137.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Harry Wendelken66c2,683$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.136,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Paul Jubb58c2,081$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.613,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Paul Jubb51c2,067$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.2314343.4%62 W · 81 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Paul Jubb33c1,735$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.552,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Paul Jubb33c1,443$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.392,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Paul Jubb51c1,417$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.264,58448.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L+35.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61b…e7babacked Paul Jubb79c1,205$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9494967.3%33 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Harry Wendelken78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22030857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Paul Jubb1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10821.2%1 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Harry Wendelken41c823.49$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.8629637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Harry Wendelken47c766.26$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.277427%20 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x201f…a96bbacked Paul Jubb54c720.41$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.023661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Paul Jubb43c698.84$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008331.3%26 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Harry Wendelken47c658.98$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.371,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Harry Wendelken52c571.1$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.131,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Paul Jubb63c430.31$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Paul Jubb59c418.02$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.2711,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Paul Jubb57c404.34$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0365157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Paul Jubb68c401.55$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.3913748.9%67 W · 70 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Paul Jubb68c390$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26463965.9%421 W · 218 L+2.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Harry Wendelken79c379.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8737071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Harry Wendelken74c357.81$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.133655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Harry Wendelken50c334.5$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.984,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Paul Jubb19c301.63$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3110317.5%18 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a7…c94bbacked Harry Wendelken50c300.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Paul Jubb25c281$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0299044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Paul Jubb25c281$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4373745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Paul Jubb36c264.77$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1961940.7%252 W · 367 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Harry Wendelken64c235.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0950364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Paul Jubb53c233.27$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.471,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Paul Jubb48c226.82$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7938460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Paul Jubb25c221$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6637342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Harry Wendelken46c216.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.581,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Harry Wendelken58c213.94$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.842,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Paul Jubb17c197$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1316718.6%31 W · 136 L-23.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-54.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Harry Wendelken51c194.49$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1924637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Harry Wendelken39c192.42$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.233,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x016c…fd1bbacked Paul Jubb52c190.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-73.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Paul Jubb34c188.21$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.991,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…768abacked Paul Jubb55c182.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Harry Wendelken57c173.68$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.362,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Harry Wendelken77c159.87$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8637153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5afa…df73backed Paul Jubb62c149.48$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.68540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-48.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a46…196cbacked Harry Wendelken41c144.64$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.344837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3900…145ebacked Paul Jubb40c141.52$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.274634.8%16 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Paul Jubb33c140.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4695935.5%340 W · 619 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Harry Wendelken76c139.5$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8948652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Paul Jubb60c135.39$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6417447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Harry Wendelken45c118.53$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4920552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Paul Jubb54c108$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.862,11156.1%1,184 W · 927 L+42.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Paul Jubb35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Harry Wendelken66c99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.516,41154.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L+283.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Paul Jubb44c91.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4137156.3%209 W · 162 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Paul Jubb55c90.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1223847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Harry Wendelken44c86.38$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.382,33246.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Paul Jubb56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4235730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Harry Wendelken46c72.59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.296,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Harry Wendelken56c71.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6370148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Harry Wendelken69c70.11$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.531,07173.9%791 W · 280 L+41.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Harry Wendelken57c65.38$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3226349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x877c…e669backed Harry Wendelken40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3622963.3%145 W · 84 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked Harry Wendelken55c58.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.017038.6%27 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Harry Wendelken71c58$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8223248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c3…da3fbacked Harry Wendelken49c57.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Paul Jubb36c55.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.998740.2%35 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Paul Jubb57c55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3570465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Harry Wendelken68c54.41$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4153752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Harry Wendelken65c50.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5127240.4%110 W · 162 L-25.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Harry Wendelken45c49.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.499455.3%52 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Harry Wendelken69c47.16$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.718,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Paul Jubb69c46.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.541,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Harry Wendelken45c45.76$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.177,71047.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a3…f319backed Harry Wendelken68c44.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.176240.3%25 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Paul Jubb24c42.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Paul Jubb52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.854434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Harry Wendelken46c39.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6489164.3%573 W · 318 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Paul Jubb34c38.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0969438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Paul Jubb54c38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.523,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Harry Wendelken64c37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3565264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Paul Jubb52c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2452854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46c1…2ba9backed Paul Jubb59c33.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Harry Wendelken75c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de1…ee53backed Paul Jubb66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Harry Wendelken45c28.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.781,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b01…7844backed Paul Jubb59c27.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.372955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Paul Jubb54c27.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5855660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88dc…1495backed Harry Wendelken58c26.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Harry Wendelken39c26.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.147153.1%250 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…f2d3backed Harry Wendelken77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.976100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+54.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Paul Jubb55c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7532450.9%165 W · 159 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Paul Jubb60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1558067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Harry Wendelken62c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.626349%129 W · 134 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46c7…e929backed Harry Wendelken70c24.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.294864.6%31 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Paul Jubb51c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1233163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Harry Wendelken67c22.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.67,74550.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L+93.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Harry Wendelken58c20.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.924770.2%33 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfe94…b9cdbacked Paul Jubb50c20.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.