Dota2 · resolved market
Team Falcons to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa353e6646bc1aefed125749e051657170dde759af882a3431e57ead53ac3f36a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed No | 54c | 35,000$18,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,997.93 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Yes | 54c | 14,449$7,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,717.33 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 46c | 12,268$5,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,643.38 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Yes | 44c | 11,957$5,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,695.82 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Yes | 57c | 5,462$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.44 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410e…637ebacked Yes | 60c | 2,991$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.03 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed No | 43c | 2,610$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.13 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 46c | 2,432$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Yes | 44c | 2,425$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.85 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 54c | 2,186$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.63 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 46c | 2,162$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.87 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 55c | 2,103$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.71 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Yes | 55c | 2,001$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.93 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,300$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,265$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.35 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 45c | 1,221$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.33 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed No | 45c | 1,128$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.51 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Yes | 53c | 1,122$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.46 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,101$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.32 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Yes | 55c | 1,045$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.85 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 43c | 887.99$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.83 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Yes | 44c | 840.91$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.91 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 64c | 793$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.49 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 39c | 713.79$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.17 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 62c | 708.51$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.24 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Yes | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Yes | 54c | 672.22$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.22 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Yes | 47c | 627.11$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 54c | 549.53$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.25 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 55c | 500.1$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.05 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.41 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Yes | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…4d0dbacked No | 49c | 484.59$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 46c | 471.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.97 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yes | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 54c | 441.14$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…cc1ebacked Yes | 69c | 438.88$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.88 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes | 56c | 422.42$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.98 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 44c | 422.09$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed No | 49c | 420$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.95 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Yes | 44c | 381.51$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.65 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 44c | 374.46$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.76 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Yes | 55c | 366.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.26 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked No | 33c | 359.54$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed No | 46c | 357.69$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.47 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2776…4ecbbacked Yes | 57c | 351$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 43c | 336$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 18c | 332.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked No | 50c | 330$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.75 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611b…2367backed Yes | 44c | 320.2$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Yes | 66c | 304.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 56c | 300.79$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 46c | 295$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 16c | 262.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 191 | 56%107 W · 84 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 44c | 248.28$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.24 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 53c | 238.58$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.07 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Yes | 57c | 226.32$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Yes | 44c | 210$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 63c | 209.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054e…51bdbacked Yes | 59c | 202.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +11.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +46%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x06f3…da2bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Yes | 52c | 193$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked No | 47c | 191.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Yes | 44c | 190$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed No | 55c | 182.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Yes | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 55c | 179$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 40c | 175.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Yes | 64c | 166.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -11.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 44c | 164$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 44c | 160.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4381…2588backed Yes | 71c | 157.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Yes | 61c | 141.93$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Yes | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 15c | 134.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 128.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…07e8backed No | 51c | 124.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 14c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team Falcons to win 2-0?this page
- Xtreme Gaming to win 2-0?No won
- Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.