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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof M80, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$227,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$243,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,927 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1610…ae49backed M8024c40,010$9,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,796.7515645.5%71 W · 85 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed FURIA76c20,614$15,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,947.321949.3%108 W · 111 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…eb43backed FURIA75c19,122$14,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780.55972.9%43 W · 16 L+9.6wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+36.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked M8025c16,698$4,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,203.235137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked M8012c11,345$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.94311.6%5 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-13%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked FURIA75c9,000$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2509448.9%46 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed M8022c5,776$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.7619061.1%116 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe183…62e6backed FURIA76c5,438$4,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.023053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f0…b287backed M8018c5,040$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.191816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA80c4,363$3,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.631,28247.3%607 W · 675 L+22.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked M8025c4,244$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.7225840.3%104 W · 154 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed M8023c4,096$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.0135031.1%109 W · 241 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked FURIA75c4,000$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0202556%14 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed M8024c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96080439.7%319 W · 485 L-2.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FURIA72c3,753$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.5689748.6%436 W · 461 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA73c3,293$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.991,63645.9%751 W · 885 L+35.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed FURIA76c3,111$2,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.6414357.3%82 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ee…c77cbacked FURIA75c2,972$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.282356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed FURIA72c2,656$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.271,40666.4%933 W · 473 L+77.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed M8018c2,654$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.711,50239.1%587 W · 915 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked M8024c2,504$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.965253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed M8026c2,496$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.7648046.3%222 W · 258 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed FURIA75c2,471$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.7998840.7%402 W · 586 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb39c…7d98backed M8010c2,409$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.36616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-68.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96d7…3a17backed M8025c2,016$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.512445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4858…3dd3backed M8033c1,831$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002020%4 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1570…1404backed M8020c1,762$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3493231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked M8022c1,623$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.3393645.3%424 W · 512 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked FURIA77c1,594$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.5246057.2%263 W · 197 L-21.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38fe…e150backed FURIA77c1,534$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.93966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed M8023c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3451,44433.4%482 W · 962 L+39.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f4…8300backed M8023c1,469$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.867857.7%45 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed FURIA80c1,441$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9950564.8%327 W · 178 L+59.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FURIA76c1,400$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33678457.3%449 W · 335 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c05…578fbacked FURIA76c1,400$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3362161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba06…8024backed FURIA75c1,320$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.064062.5%25 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked M8022c1,296$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.843,70629.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L-297.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad7e…ae3bbacked FURIA75c1,280$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed M8028c1,277$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.885,46631.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L-400.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked M8022c1,277$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.851,75647.3%830 W · 926 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed M8023c1,204$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.0163234.7%219 W · 413 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed M8024c1,178$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.728133.3%27 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked M8027c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9742454.7%232 W · 192 L+28.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x997f…b0f7backed M8024c1,096$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2631735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed M8024c1,060$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.45,95437.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L+77.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…69b3backed M8025c1,007$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507252.8%38 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aee…637abacked FURIA76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2404461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked M8022c1,000$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151,18448%568 W · 616 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked FURIA76c999.99$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24099052.5%520 W · 470 L+26.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6f1…5729backed FURIA76c987.11$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.118667.4%58 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a00…bfc3backed FURIA76c950$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d4…d0c3backed FURIA78c919.6$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed M8024c902$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4816141%66 W · 95 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf1…370abacked FURIA74c889.55$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.558100%8 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed FURIA76c870.5$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.9245743.5%199 W · 258 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed FURIA76c834$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1676254.9%418 W · 344 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed M8024c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017352.6%91 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked FURIA77c800$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18424747%116 W · 131 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7d…df55backed FURIA78c772.99$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.992254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FURIA77c768.73$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.632,44545.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L-66.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked M8024c724.47$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8713250%66 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed M8014c716.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.288142%34 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed FURIA75c700$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.541655.3%230 W · 186 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed FURIA76c669.66$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6674358.1%432 W · 311 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x521f…3344backed FURIA76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.897550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed M8024c640$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.637954.9%208 W · 171 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdce3…7537backed M8021c634.82$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.454055%22 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd25f…eab3backed FURIA70c600$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1836541.5%27 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…28a8backed M8030c587.44$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.021560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked FURIA76c578.77$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.95644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked FURIA76c571.66$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.311,59851.6%824 W · 774 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x136b…c35abacked M807c570$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.91735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7374…38ffbacked FURIA77c550.38$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.726350.8%32 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x344e…019ebacked M807c549.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011913.4%16 W · 103 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-62.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked FURIA76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3240848.5%198 W · 210 L-1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec2…82babacked M803c505.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.155536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked M807c500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3332322.6%73 W · 250 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed M8023c499.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11562441.7%260 W · 364 L-20.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked FURIA77c482.17$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.442,74947.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L-37.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked M8032c462.53$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.762,50243%1,077 W · 1,425 L-73.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb990…1a3abacked M8025c458.33$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.59614.6%14 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked M8024c447.96$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1084,87943.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L-93.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17c0…87dfbacked M805c412.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.260%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7337…1fafbacked M8024c401.92$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4620822.6%47 W · 161 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae06…be4dbacked FURIA75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10015659%92 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed FURIA78c400$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8945875.8%347 W · 111 L+25.4wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed M8031c399.97$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9951646.9%242 W · 274 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd2…9120backed FURIA77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.612268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked M8022c372.16$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.674158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9247…7789backed M8018c372$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…3126backed FURIA77c319.43$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4716133.5%54 W · 107 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked M8024c300.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8113950.4%70 W · 69 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked FURIA76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7212659.5%75 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb7…278bbacked M8033c294.82$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+119%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked M8011c285.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.425337.7%20 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5404…1d02backed M807c285$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.192425%6 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-53.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4adf…d623backed FURIA76c272.97$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.897374%54 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked M8010c270$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2713948.9%68 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6117…29ffbacked FURIA77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.743234.4%11 W · 21 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x72e7…2b72backed M8024c253.86$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.933447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.