Movies · resolved market
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c7525eb66abc9240ef9afcb663fce06a0e523773fcabc73b728b5574ad6a092
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x272c…7f07backed Yes | 3c | 5,253$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 24c | 4,991$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.97 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 23c | 4,367$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.96 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 63c | 2,672$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked No | 80c | 2,650$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 2,624$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.01 | 480 | 28.5%137 W · 343 L | -33.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…08cebacked Yes | 20c | 2,203$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 17c | 2,083$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.35 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…c65cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,976$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…1aa6backed Yes | 14c | 1,973$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 77c | 1,643$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 79c | 1,613$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 21c | 1,576$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…829abacked No | 73c | 1,373$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 74c | 1,279$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…6dcdbacked No | 71c | 1,277$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 1,199$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 215 | 9.3%20 W · 195 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 26c | 1,134$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.53 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed No | 66c | 1,076$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.38 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed Yes | 7c | 988.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 15c | 960.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.76 | 368 | 38.3%141 W · 227 L | -19.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 2c | 871.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…c31fbacked Yes | 17c | 853.05$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 19c | 756$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.73 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -7.8wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 15c | 723.45$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…dec7backed Yes | 3c | 684.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…1d32backed Yes | 30c | 670$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Yes | 27c | 662.73$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b24…de70backed Yes | 2c | 642.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…6381backed No | 63c | 633$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 79c | 592.7$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.33 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…0b9cbacked Yes | 17c | 592.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes | 17c | 579.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 73c | 531.33$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1f…a246backed No | 71c | 529.19$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…8427backed Yes | 5c | 511.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaded…4c35backed No | 79c | 497.48$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ca…fc0dbacked Yes | 8c | 451.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 79c | 416.55$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa9…7a0ebacked Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…931abacked Yes | 18c | 399.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 374$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 1,415 | 8%113 W · 1,302 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed Yes | 21c | 335.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 30c | 335.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 143 | 14.7%21 W · 122 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 71c | 319.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked No | 80c | 306$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…3cd8backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d02…6255backed No | 60c | 297.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 16c | 295.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 131 | 23.7%31 W · 100 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 69c | 291.61$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 232 | 30.6%71 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 27c | 274.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 26c | 261$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No | 73c | 258$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…8605backed Yes | 9c | 246.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 68c | 245.29$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd39e…567fbacked Yes | 19c | 231.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaff…e3adbacked Yes | 27c | 210$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8477…8fcfbacked Yes | 27c | 200.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…73d0backed Yes | 15c | 184.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -39%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…d3a4backed Yes | 15c | 177$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…babfbacked No | 66c | 174.83$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 68c | 171.88$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 235 | 30.6%72 W · 163 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 30c | 169$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -7.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcc…cf59backed Yes | 22c | 166.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed Yes | 35c | 163.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +7.7wins | +0.25per pick | 43cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…54f8backed No | 74c | 162.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fc…03debacked No | 76c | 160.2$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed No | 74c | 157$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 29c | 154.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x668b…8e86backed Yes | 36c | 152.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +82%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…d4e1backed Yes | 28c | 143.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 20c | 141.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 29c | 140.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 65c | 129.92$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 124$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 885 | 33.6%297 W · 588 L | -76.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc179…5cdebacked Yes | 23c | 109.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 63c | 109.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed No | 74c | 106.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 43c | 103.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1e…bc9abacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…6900backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c71…a36dbacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 16c | 91.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb75f…f98bbacked Yes | 27c | 90.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 73c | 88.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0beb…4503backed Yes | 25c | 88.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…4094backed Yes | 18c | 79.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…0c84backed Yes | 26c | 77.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed No | 71c | 75.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked No | 52c | 70.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed No | 73c | 70.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…e887backed No | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked No | 73c | 68.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?this page
- Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long?Yes won
- Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long?Yes won
- Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 20 minutes long?Yes won
- Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long?Yes won
- Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 3 minutes long?Yes won
- Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 5 minutes long?Yes won
- Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 60 minutes long?No won
- Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 8 minutes long?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.