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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Legacy, FUT Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$698,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$765,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $698,701 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a53…077bbacked Legacy43c52,672$22,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,035.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed FUT Esports58c35,624$20,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,756.8313155%72 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Legacy42c13,849$5,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,005.4118943.4%82 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98d5…2ec4backed FUT Esports67c12,347$8,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,298.112441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee82…bd96backed FUT Esports52c10,500$5,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,456.041163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed FUT Esports50c9,382$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,700.2214647.3%69 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Legacy40c7,881$3,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,720.1710354.4%56 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked FUT Esports49c7,500$3,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,708.3426454.9%145 W · 119 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked FUT Esports63c7,306$4,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,584.756835.3%24 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Legacy37c7,200$2,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,535.998757.5%50 W · 37 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+30.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FUT Esports56c7,140$4,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,017.41,74047%817 W · 923 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…eb43backed Legacy60c6,783$4,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.345570.9%39 W · 16 L+8.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Legacy52c6,543$3,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,156.751,62745.7%743 W · 884 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed FUT Esports58c6,250$3,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,598.314946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FUT Esports41c5,767$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,361.273,99436.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L-207.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2829…12a0backed FUT Esports56c5,752$3,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,221.031533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Legacy67c5,277$3,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.151,80259.3%1,069 W · 733 L+107.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Legacy50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50082543%355 W · 470 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Legacy42c4,730$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.7137454.8%205 W · 169 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x997f…b0f7backed FUT Esports55c4,404$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,422944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Legacy78c4,385$3,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.0176945.9%353 W · 416 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Legacy34c4,126$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,729.7522931%71 W · 158 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked FUT Esports60c4,050$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.9224146.1%111 W · 130 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Legacy42c3,943$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,286.91,46139.3%574 W · 887 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Legacy49c3,925$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.751,06949.3%527 W · 542 L+40.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports42c3,880$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.162,81637.6%1,060 W · 1,756 L-138.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed Legacy42c3,700$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.21947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Legacy38c3,597$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.6790347.2%426 W · 477 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Legacy42c3,560$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.9623653.8%127 W · 109 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8af…9ea8backed FUT Esports50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Legacy50c3,455$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.533552.5%176 W · 159 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked FUT Esports56c3,433$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.4811644%51 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed FUT Esports40c3,404$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36019636.7%72 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Legacy27c3,195$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,326.615337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Legacy63c3,179$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.59472.3%68 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed Legacy53c2,998$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.15947.5%28 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Legacy37c2,964$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.0162534.9%218 W · 407 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked FUT Esports47c2,735$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.763,62429.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L-291.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked FUT Esports74c2,702$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec2…82babacked Legacy34c2,631$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.15040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed FUT Esports74c2,556$1,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.94714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick56cpaid-76.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked FUT Esports59c2,552$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.8732948.3%159 W · 170 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Legacy26c2,500$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85022625.7%58 W · 168 L+0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed FUT Esports63c2,415$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.4547346.7%221 W · 252 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed FUT Esports61c2,380$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.6813956.8%79 W · 60 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x568b…4727backed FUT Esports56c2,350$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3163060%18 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Legacy40c2,287$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.1238745.7%177 W · 210 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4734…4ed5backed FUT Esports58c2,247$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.231250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed FUT Esports46c2,226$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03097445.5%443 W · 531 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb15…5485backed Legacy44c2,182$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.521376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+42.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked Legacy48c2,130$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.92347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Legacy45c2,116$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.7554837.4%205 W · 343 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Legacy48c2,104$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.9915149%74 W · 77 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FUT Esports19c2,096$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.982,69130.7%826 W · 1,865 L-110.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Legacy49c2,049$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.1917750.8%90 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Legacy45c2,037$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.2211743.6%51 W · 66 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x06b0…afd6backed FUT Esports64c2,004$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.553754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed FUT Esports50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012850%64 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed FUT Esports74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48012040%48 W · 72 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked Legacy41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1806550.8%33 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FUT Esports56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9975945.3%344 W · 415 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked FUT Esports57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.982770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed FUT Esports49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9812340.7%50 W · 73 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac9…e85abacked Legacy40c1,880$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd47c…39b5backed Legacy53c1,830$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.986051.7%31 W · 29 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked FUT Esports45c1,787$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.5787344.3%387 W · 486 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports40c1,772$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.958,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports32c1,740$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.135,40031.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L-393.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked FUT Esports68c1,738$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19018667.2%125 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked FUT Esports58c1,729$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.6318650%93 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ba…246cbacked FUT Esports60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b0…180dbacked FUT Esports27c1,660$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.21618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-62.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Legacy36c1,631$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.574443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a8…bdc6backed FUT Esports62c1,562$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.7711852.5%62 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked FUT Esports65c1,561$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.817549.7%87 W · 88 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fca…6ac3backed Legacy39c1,561$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.585042%21 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Legacy49c1,546$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.792,53643.1%1,094 W · 1,442 L+44.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Legacy55c1,540$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.1888848.3%429 W · 459 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Legacy41c1,524$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.061346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Legacy42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.9817338.7%67 W · 106 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x631a…b631backed Legacy42c1,459$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed FUT Esports58c1,444$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.5111650%58 W · 58 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ae…46d7backed FUT Esports56c1,416$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.961637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45da…72febacked Legacy30c1,398$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.787445.9%34 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96d7…3a17backed FUT Esports56c1,392$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.521947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Legacy61c1,377$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.3739968.4%273 W · 126 L+28.0wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked FUT Esports25c1,372$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3436045%27 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Legacy41c1,366$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.853855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FUT Esports50c1,355$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.175,11337.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L-268.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Legacy42c1,308$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7645,91137.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L+74.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports58c1,262$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.8477957.4%447 W · 332 L+1.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Legacy44c1,246$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.9747263.6%300 W · 172 L+51.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8be4…a700backed FUT Esports56c1,244$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.025952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Legacy43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68436840.5%149 W · 219 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Legacy55c1,196$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.361,27347.1%600 W · 673 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports56c1,125$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6302,12041.9%889 W · 1,231 L-47.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf2…de9dbacked FUT Esports42c1,062$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Legacy42c1,043$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.869245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Legacy41c1,000$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.4635942.6%153 W · 206 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Legacy26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.