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CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof FUT Esports, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa4fd…748bbacked FUT Esports31c25,000$7,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7504431.8%14 W · 30 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Legacy69c15,000$10,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,649.9926454.9%145 W · 119 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb132…6b5ebacked Legacy69c14,172$9,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,393.42650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed FUT Esports31c5,224$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.1857336.1%207 W · 366 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…12babacked Legacy69c5,053$3,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.523531.4%11 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Legacy69c4,148$2,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.3252349.3%258 W · 265 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1570…1404backed FUT Esports31c3,126$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.153132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed FUT Esports31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93012340.7%50 W · 73 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Legacy69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93039346.8%184 W · 209 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed FUT Esports31c2,974$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92255843.2%241 W · 317 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked FUT Esports45c2,246$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007040%28 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports30c2,171$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.795,13755%2,826 W · 2,311 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FUT Esports31c1,994$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.891,74047%817 W · 923 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee1…3e22backed FUT Esports30c1,539$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.561315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-67.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Legacy70c1,234$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.21,14949.4%568 W · 581 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Legacy69c1,111$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.512241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe36c…a856backed FUT Esports31c1,081$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33510938.5%42 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b7…602bbacked Legacy70c859.84$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Legacy51c838.83$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.031,46139.3%574 W · 887 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x657a…d1f4backed Legacy66c792.5$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.451827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4ef…82b8backed Legacy70c764.14$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.242065%13 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9147…baccbacked FUT Esports31c756.38$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2337939.2%31 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Legacy70c720$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2167548%36 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234c…2eeabacked Legacy70c595.73$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e78…0261backed Legacy68c584.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d7d…df55backed Legacy72c530.31$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.311752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed Legacy69c507.25$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.251637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Legacy69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15541249.3%203 W · 209 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Legacy69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15561341.8%256 W · 357 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed FUT Esports31c434.32$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6428243.6%123 W · 159 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed FUT Esports30c433.26$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Legacy68c365.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1421864.2%140 W · 78 L+0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked FUT Esports29c303.32$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.252,70747.9%1,296 W · 1,411 L-30.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Legacy69c302.38$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.749245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked FUT Esports30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030939.2%121 W · 188 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FUT Esports31c252.26$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.22,67451.9%1,388 W · 1,286 L+25.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed FUT Esports31c215.03$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6676945.9%353 W · 416 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…eb43backed Legacy68c214.22$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.555570.9%39 W · 16 L+8.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x61e9…b13abacked FUT Esports24c209.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.420353.7%109 W · 94 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Legacy50c208.29$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1537454.8%205 W · 169 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed FUT Esports31c195.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.612,04853.8%1,101 W · 947 L+8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Legacy76c190.75$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.781,80259.3%1,069 W · 733 L+107.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed FUT Esports32c186.81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.78714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Legacy69c169$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3920253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed FUT Esports30c161$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.310451.9%54 W · 50 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90f0…2923backed FUT Esports34c151.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.377643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda7…af42backed Legacy69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932965.5%19 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed FUT Esports30c144.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4727044.1%119 W · 151 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed FUT Esports30c128.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6432638.3%125 W · 201 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked FUT Esports30c128.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6431338.7%121 W · 192 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed FUT Esports30c119.64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8928248.6%137 W · 145 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed FUT Esports31c115.2$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610465.4%68 W · 36 L+12.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Legacy70c114$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.220439.2%80 W · 124 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked FUT Esports30c105.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5438251%195 W · 187 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed FUT Esports31c103.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.112142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+48%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaeb…c2d0backed Legacy69c100.51$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.162846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked FUT Esports26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2632139.3%126 W · 195 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8818…f8acbacked Legacy70c98.57$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8217961.5%110 W · 69 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Legacy69c95.4$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.589153.8%49 W · 42 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+36.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2914…aff6backed Legacy70c91.31$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.394072.5%29 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Legacy62c90.71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.562,47244.5%1,101 W · 1,371 L-68.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Legacy68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.61,95047.8%932 W · 1,018 L-50.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Legacy68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.625650.4%129 W · 127 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…980abacked FUT Esports31c76.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.625149%25 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Legacy51c73.3$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9227746.6%129 W · 148 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdfb…9680backed Legacy71c71.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.832152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Legacy70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2514953.7%80 W · 69 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc06…7f72backed FUT Esports29c46.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.423935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6add…6992backed FUT Esports48c45.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228937.1%33 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Legacy74c45.7$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8818268.1%124 W · 58 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked FUT Esports30c44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.218259.9%109 W · 73 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb15…8569backed Legacy74c40.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.494072.5%29 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Legacy70c40.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.281457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a70…5550backed Legacy70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121090%9 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed FUT Esports30c38.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2517047.1%80 W · 90 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2bf…3e90backed FUT Esports30c38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.297546.7%35 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd612…5826backed FUT Esports33c32.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…5addbacked Legacy71c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.549862.2%61 W · 37 L+13.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xeee0…718bbacked Legacy74c23.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.211471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.