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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Legacy, FUT Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,668,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,181,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,668,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 925 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed FUT Esports58c1,762,709$1,015,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015,316.917455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14c7…9ccfbacked Legacy45c1,054,607$472,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582,043.05540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Legacy64c350,509$223,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126,806.1127256.6%154 W · 118 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f0e…2ee5backed Legacy42c207,441$87,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120,241.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Legacy45c200,000$90,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,999.9916943.8%74 W · 95 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed Legacy45c150,000$68,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,00021853.2%116 W · 102 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed FUT Esports54c132,947$71,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,791.5613450.7%68 W · 66 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FUT Esports37c120,659$44,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,428.62,41245.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L-62.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Legacy43c100,000$42,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,5007554.7%41 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Legacy41c100,000$41,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,999.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Legacy51c100,000$51,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,599.993148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Legacy42c100,000$42,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,999.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed FUT Esports43c100,000$43,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,999.948744.8%39 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc64f…e677backed FUT Esports55c75,000$41,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,249.93728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed Legacy42c67,733$28,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,285.141233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e74…5972backed Legacy45c66,836$30,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,591.495040%20 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed FUT Esports59c66,738$39,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,375.4619754.3%107 W · 90 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Legacy42c66,666$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,666.2813155%72 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2616…c6aabacked Legacy41c66,666$27,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,110.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+102.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed Legacy42c61,250$25,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,525666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Legacy52c57,418$29,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,844.2678052.8%412 W · 368 L+28.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Legacy42c55,555$23,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,444.1112954.3%70 W · 59 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Legacy44c52,442$23,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,191.8614845.3%67 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed FUT Esports52c52,264$27,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,083.6614647.3%69 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Legacy46c50,351$23,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,051.8112241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f6…25a1backed Legacy42c50,000$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports54c45,685$24,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,626.865,13755%2,826 W · 2,311 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4d…0bd2backed Legacy44c40,000$17,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,449.96988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick53cpaid+74%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f1a…6529backed Legacy43c38,308$16,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,835.631855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed Legacy43c34,892$15,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,888.311145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Legacy42c33,333$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,333.146454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Legacy42c30,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,40041749.9%208 W · 209 L+20.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e13…a801backed FUT Esports56c27,814$15,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,687.65650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed Legacy42c24,901$10,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,359.851637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c2…23adbacked FUT Esports58c24,167$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,0009147.3%43 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Legacy45c23,580$10,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,076.4923845.4%108 W · 130 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf444…8c90backed Legacy42c21,645$9,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,554.1977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+62.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Legacy46c21,302$9,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,559.2937254%201 W · 171 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked FUT Esports56c20,182$11,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,3004431.8%14 W · 30 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked Legacy71c20,000$14,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8001963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0744…d0f7backed Legacy42c20,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,600250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Legacy44c20,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,199.9719651%100 W · 96 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16e5…c50abacked Legacy42c18,872$7,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,945.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e6…584bbacked Legacy42c17,200$7,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,976366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+50.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x620b…2e9fbacked Legacy44c17,000$7,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,5201163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Legacy43c16,648$7,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,513.2313148.1%63 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked FUT Esports30c16,403$4,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,920.8322754.6%124 W · 103 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Legacy41c16,000$6,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4401553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd2…6657backed Legacy44c15,184$6,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,515.031070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+30.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed FUT Esports58c15,000$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,7004247.6%20 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Legacy43c14,000$6,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,9805651.8%29 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Legacy67c13,998$9,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,600.461,46139.3%574 W · 887 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Legacy43c13,329$5,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,552.2235354.1%191 W · 162 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5768…d072backed FUT Esports55c13,000$7,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0851361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Legacy42c12,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,899.9946750.1%234 W · 233 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Legacy43c12,000$5,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,824.9597840.7%398 W · 580 L+12.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed Legacy42c11,905$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,904.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Legacy69c11,691$8,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,649.988848.3%429 W · 459 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Legacy43c11,352$4,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,417.621136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Legacy45c10,503$4,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,771.569351.9%360 W · 333 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9f…0eaebacked Legacy47c10,496$4,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,518.14650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0665…2a33backed FUT Esports58c10,403$6,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,033.61323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Legacy62c10,128$6,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,824.631,27347.1%600 W · 673 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Legacy42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8006634.8%23 W · 43 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Legacy42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,800250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Legacy42c9,802$4,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,685.1655634.7%193 W · 363 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…eb43backed Legacy71c9,005$6,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.195570.9%39 W · 16 L+8.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Legacy44c8,941$3,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,043.711,74047%817 W · 923 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Legacy43c8,173$3,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,650.443435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Legacy45c8,018$3,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,428.551,06949.3%527 W · 542 L+40.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Legacy51c8,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,90072446.4%336 W · 388 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Legacy44c8,000$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,439.9837257.8%215 W · 157 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed FUT Esports57c7,574$4,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,317.1223653.8%127 W · 109 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Legacy42c7,500$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,35018761%114 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Legacy73c7,351$5,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.8562537.8%236 W · 389 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Legacy44c7,342$3,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,118.686158.1%500 W · 361 L+59.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Legacy71c7,192$5,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.665056%28 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4b…5345backed FUT Esports55c7,084$3,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,896.324163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Legacy44c7,000$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,91079740%319 W · 478 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed FUT Esports28c7,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96030640.2%123 W · 183 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Legacy71c7,000$4,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,03065052.6%342 W · 308 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Legacy71c7,000$4,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.9961341.8%256 W · 357 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed Legacy42c6,958$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,014.2221347.9%102 W · 111 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Legacy46c6,800$3,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,671.975145.1%23 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe4…93afbacked FUT Esports58c6,761$3,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,921.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4097…9397backed Legacy47c6,194$2,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,273.324351.2%22 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb99c…7e96backed Legacy42c6,192$2,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,591.362259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Legacy42c6,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,48077957.4%447 W · 332 L+1.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Legacy42c5,555$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,221.922931%71 W · 158 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e77…6d85backed FUT Esports56c5,547$3,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,106.481070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Legacy42c5,534$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,209.72933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda68…6b7bbacked Legacy43c5,355$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,051.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6261…4adbbacked Legacy42c5,238$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,038.12948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Legacy48c5,218$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,704.0590347.2%426 W · 477 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked FUT Esports2c5,178$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0752349.3%258 W · 265 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked Legacy71c5,162$3,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.963959%23 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed Legacy70c5,082$3,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.67159.2%42 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Legacy71c5,064$3,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.537545.3%34 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Legacy45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,75027553.1%146 W · 129 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc408…4675backed Legacy42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.