CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x102e7523916c564a030eccc69815293cb1aa330e68a0e7bccd2877da2a6253e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Over | 50c | 14,391$7,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,195.68 | 246 | 40.2%99 W · 147 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 50c | 11,074$5,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,565.99 | 374 | 54.8%205 W · 169 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 9,586$4,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,742.29 | 1,740 | 47%817 W · 923 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 5,506$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.94 | 556 | 34.7%193 W · 363 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 573 | 36.1%207 W · 366 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Over | 50c | 2,086$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043 | 212 | 42.9%91 W · 121 L | -14.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7d…df55backed Over | 49c | 1,459$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed Over | 51c | 1,331$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.93 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 51c | 1,017$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.12 | 1,549 | 51.3%795 W · 754 L | -11.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…dd56backed Over | 49c | 1,010$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 359 | 42.6%153 W · 206 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Under | 50c | 999.99$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 927.04$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.49 | 1,461 | 39.3%574 W · 887 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f5…24adbacked Over | 56c | 536.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 27c | 447.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 1,673 | 32.7%547 W · 1,126 L | -48.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Over | 52c | 387.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 312 | 58.3%182 W · 130 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 373.71$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.12 | 2,707 | 47.9%1,296 W · 1,411 L | -30.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed Over | 45c | 347$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.15 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 331$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 412 | 49.3%203 W · 209 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 295.41$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.68 | 2,472 | 44.5%1,101 W · 1,371 L | -68.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1765…17febacked Over | 51c | 294.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 55c | 284.82$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.46 | 1,161 | 42.2%490 W · 671 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Over | 47c | 280.3$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.62 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Under | 48c | 261.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.92 | 283 | 53.4%151 W · 132 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Under | 50c | 217.82$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 401 | 69.3%278 W · 123 L | +32.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 974 | 45.5%443 W · 531 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 511 | 50.3%257 W · 254 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 49.2%189 W · 195 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…a2bcbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 45c | 180.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 2,691 | 30.7%826 W · 1,865 L | -110.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…33b4backed Under | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Under | 49c | 171.92$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…c323backed Over | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3971…44debacked Over | 50c | 134$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 870 | 46%400 W · 470 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 45c | 86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 748 | 53.5%400 W · 348 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 48c | 82.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 819 | 44.4%364 W · 455 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…2f7fbacked Over | 41c | 82.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 23c | 78.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 55c | 76.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 1,388 | 66.3%920 W · 468 L | +75.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…7520backed Under | 73c | 74.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 47c | 74.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 373 | 45.6%170 W · 203 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Under | 55c | 72.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 435 | 72.2%314 W · 121 L | +26.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Over | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 454 | 43.4%197 W · 257 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 23c | 61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 3,994 | 36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L | -207.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…c00fbacked Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dca…f9edbacked Over | 50c | 57.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Under | 46c | 54.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 302 | 61.3%185 W · 117 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…5fe6backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…fd9ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 52c | 48.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 560 | 48.6%272 W · 288 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Under | 51c | 47.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 44.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39de…1b55backed Over | 49c | 43.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 40c | 42.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 767 | 48.2%370 W · 397 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 41.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 2,412 | 45.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L | -62.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 769 | 45.9%353 W · 416 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Under | 64c | 40.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 147 | 69.4%102 W · 45 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 350 | 43.1%151 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…1d02backed Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 41c | 33.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 365 | 41.6%152 W · 213 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3793…8f46backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed Over | 51c | 29.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Under | 79c | 25.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 200 | 81%162 W · 38 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 627 | 53.9%338 W · 289 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b22…1949backed Over | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…adfdbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)Legacy won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.