Music · resolved market
Will "Golden - Huntrix: Ejae, Audrey Nuna & Rei Ami" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbadf07a2f8ca9b67dd598bc544a95b2db77b637dd112f6697fa3f9df1618801
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204d…ca5bbacked Yes | 0c | 49,984$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 48c | 1,322$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.35 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 51c | 850$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 48c | 436$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.79 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…e37fbacked No | 48c | 419.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 27c | 412.34$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.37 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 50c | 400.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 53c | 360$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +75%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…d0b2backed Yes | 60c | 298.23$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 18c | 283.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…307bbacked No | 50c | 252$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 48c | 245.24$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.83 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 60c | 232.22$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 42c | 204.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.91 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 49c | 204$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +189.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 51c | 201.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 47c | 177.9$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef52…b4eabacked Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8986…5631backed Yes | 50c | 103.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 53c | 103$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 51c | 74.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 48 | 75%36 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 60c | 70.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec5…946abacked Yes | 58c | 70.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 56c | 45.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 23c | 43.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 56c | 36.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 51c | 35.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 54c | 25.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…94a2backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Golden - Huntrix: Ejae, Audrey Nuna & Rei Ami" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will "30 for 30 - SZA featuring Kendrick Lamar" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will "APT. - Rosé & Bruno Mars" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will "Defying Gravity - Cynthia Erivo & Ariana Grande" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes won
- Will "Gabriela - Katseye" win Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.