Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79c136cff02cddb10becc037442d4743d351d9a6671c9f197b7ae9b72ef0c161
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Under | 62c | 7,402$4,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.32 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Over | 78c | 4,625$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,604.28 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 26c | 1,295$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.59 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +106%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 1,021$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.98 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Over | 14c | 900$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204a…a4eabacked Over | 17c | 824.7$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…f6fcbacked Over | 15c | 700$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…55f5backed Over | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 561.08$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.93 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 16c | 459.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Over | 17c | 346.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Under | 14c | 343.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9124…f819backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 295.56$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Over | 28c | 215.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 198.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 53c | 166.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 49c | 153$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 22c | 131.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Under | 78c | 129$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Over | 49c | 119.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 118$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…d041backed Over | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…5e2abacked Over | 49c | 104$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 40c | 87.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 76c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Over | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 52c | 41.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 72c | 21.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.