Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ade9090639dc9a5b19f327d4302b1ac8b291a54d1aff85612164bead67751df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.15 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 67c | 797.09$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.04 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Yes | 50c | 792.88$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 52c | 782.17$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 48c | 460.35$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.55 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9124…f819backed Yes | 56c | 356.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 353.74$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.3 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Yes | 61c | 322.77$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.73 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 207$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 144.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 30c | 141.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 59c | 135.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 70c | 131.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked No | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 31c | 64.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Yes | 62c | 48.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 29c | 41.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 42c | 39.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 67c | 38.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 58c | 34.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…afcbbacked Yes | 68c | 34.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dc22backed Yes | 67c | 29.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Yes | 70c | 29.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…d972backed Yes | 67c | 20.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Yes | 67c | 20.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.