Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77e401d048013db148cdcbd523630d70ae9d6dc22c446457b4d9787e6409796b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 75c | 4,790$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.45 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 78c | 3,333$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.27 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 22c | 1,536$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 20c | 779.81$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 666.6$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.73 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9124…f819backed Over | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 481.42$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.05 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 22c | 454.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 23c | 339.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 23c | 270.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 80c | 244.19$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 20c | 220$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Under | 21c | 216$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…d041backed Over | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…5e2abacked Over | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 174.47$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 20c | 125.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Over | 51c | 116.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 25c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…dd5bbacked Under | 22c | 75.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 24c | 63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 24c | 54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 80c | 33.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…2ffbbacked Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 80c | 19.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 80c | 17.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.