Asian League · resolved market

Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x783ce23a43d0e52878863065e9c04ffc32b0335b7cc4a526c9fa81490b84843c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $41,631
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $42,682

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,631 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Asian League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under	76c	4,457$3,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,087.97	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	62c	3,515$2,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,342.4	5,963	46%2,744 W · 3,219 L	+46.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Over	22c	2,953$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.04	46	63%29 W · 17 L	+5.5wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	28c	2,313$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.93	2,520	39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under	51c	1,861$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$910.81	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over	48c	1,830$871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870.5	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+100.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	72c	1,529$1,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.29	1,662	36.2%602 W · 1,060 L	-34.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	62c	1,505$939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.22	2,528	42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L	+53.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	33c	1,450$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.81	359	47.4%170 W · 189 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over	47c	1,400$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.8wins	-0.20per pick	52cpaid	-41%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x035b…01b1backed Over	45c	1,101$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	32c	999.99$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316	108	23.1%25 W · 83 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Under	53c	945.12$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.12	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.5wins	+0.27per pick	50cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	68c	707.25$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.8	1,357	45.5%617 W · 740 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c5…22d8backed Under	57c	602.27$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.1	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over	44c	576.15$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.83	100	39%39 W · 61 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under	58c	515.95$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.95	94	67%63 W · 31 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Under	69c	500$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155	107	73.8%79 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	74cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a31…a9dabacked Over	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under	54c	382.93$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.15	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbc…0a3ebacked Over	47c	342.55$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over	5c	315.8$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.79	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+5.7wins	+0.18per pick	35cpaid	+65.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over	49c	306.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under	52c	297.65$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.22	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	52c	283.39$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.86	1,464	35.6%521 W · 943 L	-33.5wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over	5c	238.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+164.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Under	47c	236.17$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.17	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed Over	14c	233.47$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	140	47.1%66 W · 74 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under	59c	202.34$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.34	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x594e…1c11backed Under	54c	200$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	59c	200$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	199	53.3%106 W · 93 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	55c	199.95$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.97	260	52.7%137 W · 123 L	+10.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dd2…9a46backed Over	49c	198$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.02	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked Over	50c	188$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.23per pick	39cpaid	+102.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe43c…ccd5backed Under	52c	180.49$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.64	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662d…d041backed Over	50c	172.15$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.89	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	48c	169.64$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.43	1,749	50.7%887 W · 862 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa57e…5e2abacked Over	49c	151$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.72	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over	34c	147.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	38c	131.84$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	335	52.8%177 W · 158 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb81…7e34backed Over	30c	123.83$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Under	53c	116$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.52	108	46.3%50 W · 58 L	+8.2wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	28c	110$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.3	427	25.8%110 W · 317 L	-34.1wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over	42c	107.14$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	99	50.5%50 W · 49 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	387	37.5%145 W · 242 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over	41c	98.34$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.32	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5724…b563backed Under	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over	41c	90.24$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under	54c	90$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	202	56.4%114 W · 88 L	+9.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	48c	87.69$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.09	706	52.3%369 W · 337 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb43f…5778backed Under	76c	85.84$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-34%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under	61c	82.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.13	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over	41c	80.93$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.18	96	53.1%51 W · 45 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over	49c	78.4$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.03	1,522	54.9%835 W · 687 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	55c	70$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	147	44.9%66 W · 81 L	-10.1wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Under	72c	68.06$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.06	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over	37c	65$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.05	193	40.9%79 W · 114 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Over	31c	64$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.84	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b0…687ebacked Over	48c	61.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e37…cfbdbacked Over	48c	60.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.28	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0a…7ca8backed Over	48c	57.49$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	407	50.6%206 W · 201 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	35c	46.88$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.51	1,319	56.7%748 W · 571 L	+64.8wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Over	35c	46.87$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-30%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under	66c	44.86$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.24	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb0…7f8abacked Under	58c	37.93$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.93	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4214…105dbacked Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under	47c	35.85$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over	43c	34.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed Under	58c	34.81$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.62	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Under	79c	34.18$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.18	24	75%18 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	64c	32.93$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.98	905	44.9%406 W · 499 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over	55c	30.38$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.71	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over	41c	27.66$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	91	46.2%42 W · 49 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Over	41c	26.39$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.82	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under	59c	25.78$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.57	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	54c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	543	54.9%298 W · 245 L	-12.9wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	245	48.6%119 W · 126 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44eb…48c6backed Under	57c	20.18$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.68	50	60%30 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	102	45.1%46 W · 56 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.96	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Under	74c	16$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.16	77	62.3%48 W · 29 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5this page
Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 0.5Over won
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event