TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,760 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over8c4,943$413 inLost-$413.242,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over15c333.33$50 inLost-$505058%29 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under71c253.99$180 inWon+$73.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x662d…d041backed Over29c213$62 inLost-$61.77862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa57e…5e2abacked Over29c206$60 inLost-$59.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over10c200$20 inLost-$19.91,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Over13c153$20 inLost-$19.892050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over15c145$21 inLost-$21.11,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Over15c144.99$21 inLost-$21.12540%10 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over17c119.99$20 inLost-$20.4727639.5%109 W · 167 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Under73c82.19$60 inWon+$22.196046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over13c77.67$10 inLost-$10.086237.1%23 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under72c50$36 inWon+$14.2554354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over29c49.99$14 inLost-$14.59950.5%50 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over25c40$10 inLost-$1011243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.