Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 1 - 1 Saudi Arabia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58ff9bcdeec03a0f6fd0ffd9b2756390b769a862b5bc20a12cf2ebf534c31493
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 19,940$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.38 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 14c | 15,500$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 14c | 11,063$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.83 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 15c | 3,887$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…990fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Yes | 12c | 1,297$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…5b36backed Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 14c | 999$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…d3e8backed Yes | 14c | 776.64$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Yes | 13c | 768.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…5a3abacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a03…a455backed Yes | 15c | 503.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859e…894fbacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 14c | 399.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 17.1%20 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…29febacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4072…6761backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 10c | 260.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…6842backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cc…6135backed Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 164 | 28.7%47 W · 117 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yes | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Yes | 15c | 220$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 15c | 218.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…630dbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 22.2%28 W · 98 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f2…3752backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 14c | 176.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 294 | 28.9%85 W · 209 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 15c | 174.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…0d74backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…bbabbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 16.2%23 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 15c | 123$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 15c | 116$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 15c | 107.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…a9c3backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Yes | 14c | 102.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 97 | 17.5%17 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…f7debacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…a370backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 17.4%27 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…2213backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…1347backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 142 | 23.9%34 W · 108 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 15c | 96.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…1baabacked Yes | 16c | 94.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…732cbacked Yes | 16c | 92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 145 | 15.9%23 W · 122 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…a800backed Yes | 12c | 90.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…56a3backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefd0…4200backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbf…c4aebacked Yes | 14c | 83.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…fefdbacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d9…ce93backed Yes | 14c | 77.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…0dfcbacked Yes | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…4414backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaa…9068backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 1 - 1 Saudi Arabia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 0 - 0 Saudi Arabia?Yes won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 0 - 1 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 0 - 2 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 0 - 3 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 1 - 0 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 1 - 2 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 1 - 3 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 2 - 2 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 2 - 3 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 3 - 2 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 3 - 3 Saudi Arabia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.