Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 1 - 2 Saudi Arabia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc255bd6003e6dbb7d9d43d91e3502e964c927c1d66c0785f68006e133029d6b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 4,796$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 9c | 2,693$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.4 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 9c | 1,202$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 8c | 1,085$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 8c | 1,010$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 9c | 888.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec9f…c3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 9c | 730$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 591.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 9c | 415.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…0d74backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…2338backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 8c | 181.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…a800backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 1 - 2 Saudi Arabia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 0 - 0 Saudi Arabia?Yes won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 0 - 1 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 0 - 2 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 0 - 3 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 1 - 0 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 1 - 1 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 1 - 3 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 2 - 2 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 2 - 3 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 3 - 2 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Cabo Verde 3 - 3 Saudi Arabia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.