Tennis · resolved market
Pune: Ilia Simakin vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d1130707cc8c877cf9e20876f4f049a313158a9584e5c5910c515236996bc09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Simakinof Simakin, Leong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Leong | 21c | 13,679$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.41 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Simakin | 78c | 9,369$7,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.28 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Leong | 30c | 5,187$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.64 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…f96dbacked Leong | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 1cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Simakin | 62c | 2,324$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.54 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Leong | 41c | 2,108$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.05 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Simakin | 61c | 2,012$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.08 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Simakin | 42c | 2,001$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.88 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Leong | 43c | 1,769$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.61 | 562 | 44.1%248 W · 314 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Leong | 39c | 1,655$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.36 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Simakin | 65c | 1,566$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.1 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Simakin | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed Simakin | 6c | 1,100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.32per pick | 13cpaid | +273.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Simakin | 57c | 959.16$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.16 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Leong | 31c | 892.84$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.91 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Simakin | 5c | 600$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,712.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Simakin | 5c | 600$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 5cpaid | +836.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Simakin | 57c | 598.21$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.21 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Simakin | 57c | 583.71$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.8 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Simakin | 42c | 542$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.46 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…d837backed Simakin | 6c | 540$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.70per pick | 14cpaid | +691.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…191bbacked Simakin | 6c | 500$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.46per pick | 16cpaid | +344.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Simakin | 5c | 500$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +6.7wins | +0.29per pick | 6cpaid | +304.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Simakin | 56c | 456.43$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.43 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Simakin | 61c | 433.23$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.01 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Simakin | 35c | 370.75$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.86 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Simakin | 64c | 366.62$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.87 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Simakin | 7c | 360$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 8cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Simakin | 7c | 360$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 16cpaid | +432.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Simakin | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Simakin | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Leong | 38c | 318.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…20a3backed Simakin | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed Leong | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Simakin | 54c | 297$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.73 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Simakin | 52c | 242.85$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Leong | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Simakin | 56c | 227$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Simakin | 55c | 209.27$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Simakin | 68c | 194.11$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Simakin | 61c | 187.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Simakin | 65c | 182.11$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Simakin | 60c | 176.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Simakin | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Simakin | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Leong | 31c | 146.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leong | 37c | 129.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Leong | 15c | 128.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Leong | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Simakin | 38c | 122$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Leong | 16c | 113.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Simakin | 77c | 103.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Leong | 40c | 94.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Simakin | 33c | 86.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Leong | 44c | 72.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Leong | 29c | 59.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Simakin | 64c | 58.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Simakin | 56c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Simakin | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…d795backed Simakin | 79c | 46.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Leong | 31c | 43.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Leong | 36c | 38.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…e5fbbacked Simakin | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8a…580ebacked Simakin | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Simakin | 63c | 31.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Simakin | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Simakin | 78c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Leong | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1309…8d93backed Simakin | 60c | 23.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Simakin | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…37d3backed Simakin | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 142 | 72.5%103 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Simakin | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Leong | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Simakin | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pune: Ilia Simakin vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leongthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Simakin vs LeongLeong won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.