Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eb59e8d51e3f920d6c5045d6934e723b8d32d0d2c7a28a04fcee31748d9484a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 2,737$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.56 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 36c | 1,196$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.83 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 616.38$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.42 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Yes | 71c | 477.01$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a78…1e03backed Yes | 80c | 442.44$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 52c | 344.43$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.51 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 33c | 251$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.42 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Yes | 77c | 243.82$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 24c | 171.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…4aebbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 95.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 34c | 85.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 27c | 64.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Yes | 70c | 57.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 64c | 34.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 37c | 34.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…1105backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 30.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-01-31?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.