Tennis · resolved market
Antalya: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Dalila Spiteri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdfde3e118616d0bbe9f1c82f9186721a662b3ebe8923f0de4a0aef75b19086a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gormazof Gormaz, Spiteri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gormaz | 75c | 5,570$4,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.66 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Spiteri | 13c | 4,704$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.68 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Spiteri | 6c | 1,742$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Spiteri | 19c | 596.43$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spiteri | 32c | 515.74$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.51 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Spiteri | 16c | 478.24$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Gormaz | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Spiteri | 38c | 331.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Gormaz | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Spiteri | 21c | 237$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Spiteri | 22c | 139$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…83f4backed Spiteri | 22c | 135.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Spiteri | 22c | 129.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Spiteri | 30c | 114.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Gormaz | 79c | 112.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…4c2dbacked Spiteri | 22c | 101.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spiteri | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Gormaz | 66c | 94.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Spiteri | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Gormaz | 67c | 61.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…7e42backed Gormaz | 77c | 49.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gormaz | 75c | 48.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Spiteri | 29c | 35.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…1d6ebacked Gormaz | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…b6c9backed Gormaz | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 118 | 65.3%77 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Gormaz | 74c | 18.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Gormaz | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Gormaz | 79c | 14.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.